Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

English Español Deutsch Français 日本語

This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.

NINE-E Current Status

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...

Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at

NINE-E Land Hazards

México
Avisos y Alertas
Guatemala
Boletín Meteorológico Informativo
Belize
El Salvador
Informes Especiales

NINE-E Tracker

NINE-E Satellite Loop

NINE-E Alternate Tracking Map

NINE-E Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for NINE-E can be found here:

NINE-E spaghetti models page »

NINE-E Watches and Warnings

Tropical Depression NINE-E Tropical Cyclone Update

Tropical Depression NINE-E Public Advisory

000
WTPZ34 KNHC 120248
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Nine-E Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP092019
900 PM MDT Sun Aug 11 2019

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.9N 109.8W
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of newly formed Tropical
Depression Nine-E was located near latitude 18.9 North, longitude
109.8 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near
14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue
through Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening will be possible for the next day or so,
and the depression could become a tropical storm on Monday.
Weakening is expected on Tuesday and the system forecast to become
a remnant low by late Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Tropical Depression NINE-E Forecast Discussion

000
WTPZ44 KNHC 120251
TCDEP4

Tropical Depression Nine-E Discussion Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP092019
900 PM MDT Sun Aug 11 2019

The broad low pressure system that the NHC has been tracking the
past several days has finally developed a well-defined surface
circulation and enough organized deep convection to be classified as
a tropical depression. A late-arriving 1716Z ASCAT-C scatterometer
pass indicated the surface wind field was possibly closed at that
time, but since then deep convection with tops of -75C to -80C have
persisted near and to the west of the mid-level circulation center,
suggesting that a low-level center has likely closed off now. Dvorak
satellite intensity estimates are T1.5/25 kt from both TAFB and SAB,
but the initial intensity is set at 30 kt based on 30-31 kt winds
indicated in the aforementioned scatterometer data.

The initial motion is estimated to be west-northwestward or 295/12
kt, based primarily on scatterometer and passive microwave fixes.
The small cyclone is expected to move west-northwestward around the
southern periphery of a deep-layer ridge for the next 3 days until
dissipation occurs. The NHC track forecast lies near the southern
portion of the guidance envelope, between the TVCE consensus model
and the ECMWF-ensemble mean model.

The small cyclone only has about 36 hours to strengthen before the
system moves over sub-26 deg C SSTs. The shear is forecast to be low
at less than 10 kt for the next 72 hours or so, even decreasing to
near 5 kt in 24-36 h, which would normally result in significant
development. However, intermittent intrusions of dry mid-level air
are expected to disrupt the typical intensification process, thus
only modest strengthening is forecast through 36 h, after which
much cooler waters will induce a weakening trend. The official
intensity forecast closely follows a blend of the HCCA and IVCN
intensity consensus models.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  12/0300Z 18.9N 109.8W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  12/1200Z 19.4N 111.2W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  13/0000Z 20.3N 113.1W   35 KT  40 MPH
 36H  13/1200Z 21.3N 115.3W   35 KT  40 MPH
 48H  14/0000Z 22.1N 117.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  15/0000Z 23.7N 123.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Stewart

NINE-E storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
30 knots 18.9, -109.8
35 knots 19.4, -111.2
35 knots 20.3, -113.1
35 knots 21.3, -115.3
30 knots 22.1, -117.8 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
25 knots 23.7, -123.2 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
0 knots translation missing: en.DISSIPATED


Hurricane Forecast   |   Tropical Storm Risk   |   Hurricane Spaghetti Models   |   Cyclone and Hurricane Names

Cyclocane   |   National Hurricane Center   |   Joint Typhoon Warning Center   |   Japan Meteorological Agency

site by Hayley Croft

Want to help support this site?

Make a monthly donation or a one-time donation to help support ongoing costs with Cyclocane.

Play solitaire and track all of the cyclocane storms at the same time at Hurricane Solitaire.