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Hurricane Forecast - Tropical Weather Outlook

Eastern Pacific Basin

Eastern Pacific Active Storms

Tropical Depression TARA

60% chance in 48 hours / 90% chance in 5 days

A tropical wave located over western Nicaragua, southwestern Honduras, and eastern El Salvador will move westward into the eastern Pacific Ocean later this evening. The combination of the wave and a strong northerly wind event over the Gulf of Tehuantepec is expected to develop a low pressure system a couple of hundred miles south of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico by late Wednesday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late Thursday or early Friday while the system moves west-northwestward near or just offshore the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

10% chance in 48 hours / 20% chance in 5 days

A weak area of low pressure located about 900 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized shower activity. Some slow development of this system is possible while it drifts northward or north-northeastward during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Atlantic Basin

Atlantic Active Storms

No active storms

0% chance in 48 hours / 0% chance in 5 days

A low pressure system that the National Hurricane Center has been tracking the past few days has now moved inland over southern Belize and eastern Guatemala. Due to land interaction, tropical cyclone formation associated with this system is no longer expected in the Atlantic basin. The southern portion of this disturbance is forecast to move into the eastern North Pacific by this evening. Gusty winds will still be possible over portions of Belize and the eastern Yucatan Peninsula this afternoon and early evening. In addition, locally heavy rainfall, which could cause flash flooding, is possible across portions of Central America during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

When is the Tropical Weather Outlook updated?

Every day, during hurricane season, the National Hurricane Center issues tropical weather outlooks at the following Pacific and Eastern times.

Hurricane Forecast   |   Tropical Storm Risk   |   Hurricane Spaghetti Models   |   Cyclone and Hurricane Names

Cyclocane   |   National Hurricane Center   |   Joint Typhoon Warning Center   |   Japan Meteorological Agency

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