( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
No active storms
An area of low pressure located about 1200 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands continues to move westward at about 15 mph. Showers and thunderstorms associated with the system have persisted for much of the day, but they remain displaced to the northwest and north of the circulation center. Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for some additional development during the next day or so, and only a slight increase in the organization of the system would result in the development of a tropical depression. The low is forecast to move into the Central Pacific basin on Monday morning, and on Tuesday conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop by midweek a few hundred miles south or southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Thereafter, some gradual development is possible through late this week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining a couple of hundred miles offshore of the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
No active storms
Satellite and radar data indicate that showers associated with a low pressure area located about 150 miles east-southeast of Jacksonville, Florida, remain disorganized and limited in coverage. However, environmental conditions are marginally conducive for development, and a tropical depression could still form overnight or on Monday while the low moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward, reaching the coast of northeastern Florida or Georgia Monday evening or Monday night. Interests in these areas should continue to monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
site by Hayley Croft