Cyclocane

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Tropical Storm Risk - Tropical Weather Outlook

With the exception of the Central Pacific Basin, all tropical storm outlook areas are automatically displayed on the main Cyclocane map as well as on this page.

Detailed Tropical Weather Outlooks by Ocean Basin

Tropical Storm Potential for the next 48 hours

Below is the Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability for the next 48 hours per the RAMMB.

tropical cyclone potential the next 48 hours

Indian Ocean Tropical Storm Risk

Indian Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the JTWC

North Indian Ocean

1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

South Indian Ocean

2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 02APR20 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (IRONDRO) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 13.1S 69.5E, APPROXIMATELY 401 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF 
DIEGO GARCIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE 
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 
KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 020900) FOR 
FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
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Northwest Pacific and South Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

West Pacific and South Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the JTWC

Northwest Pacific Ocean

1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

South Pacific Ocean

2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 03APR20 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (HAROLD) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 10.4S 161.6E, APPROXIMATELY 586 NM NORTHWEST OF PORT 
VILA, VANUATU, AND HAD TRACKED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS (KTS) 
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE 
ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 
030300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 8.5S 145.6E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 17.5S 162.8E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
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Australia - Western Region Tropical Storm Risk

IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Friday 3 April 2020
for the period until midnight WST Monday 6 April 2020.

Existing Cyclones in the  Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

Tropical Cyclone Irondro was located near 15.9S 72.8E at 8am WST Friday. It
will remain west of 090E over the weekend, but it may then move into the region
late Monday or early on Tuesday, over open waters to the south of 20S. It
should be weakening rapidly as it enters the region.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Saturday        Very Low   
Sunday          Very Low   
Monday          Low        


A very weak low lies near 10S 105E. It is expected to drift south to southwest
over the weekend and early next week, but it is unlikely to develop
significantly.

No other significant tropical systems are expected within the region over the
next three days.

Likelihood of this or another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western
Region on:
Saturday        Very Low   
Sunday          Very Low   
Monday          Very Low   

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.



Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

Australia - Northern Region Tropical Storm Risk

IDD10610
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria
Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Friday 3 April 2020
for the period until midnight CST Monday 6 April 2020.

Existing Cyclones in the  Northern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

There are no significant tropical lows in the region and none are expected to
develop during the next three days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:
Saturday        Very Low   
Sunday          Very Low   
Monday          Very Low   



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between
125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around
Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

Australia - Eastern Region Tropical Storm Risk

IDQ10810
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea
Issued at 5:47 pm EST on Friday 3 April 2020
for the period until midnight EST Monday 6 April 2020.

Existing Cyclones in the  Eastern Region:

##

Likelihood of this system remaining a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Potential Cyclones:  

A trough lies near the southern Papua New Guinea coast and across the far
northern Coral Sea. This trough will move north tomorrow and weaken over the
weekend.

Tropical Cyclone Harold has just moved outside of the Eastern Region and is
located near 10.6S, 160.8E. The tropical cyclone is moving to the east
southeast at 28 km/h and is expected to continue developing over the coming
days. This system is expected to continue to move into the Fiji area of
responsibility and is expected to remain well offshore from the Australian
coast with no impact to the mainland or island communities.

No further tropical lows are expected on this trough.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Saturday        Very Low   
Sunday          Very Low   
Monday          Very Low   



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea
west of 160E.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

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Fiji Tropical Storm Risk

WWPS21 NFFN 022300
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Apr 022332 UTC.

TROPICAL CYCLONE HAROLD CENTER [998HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 10.2S 159.0E AT
021800UTC MOVING EAST AT 11 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. TC HAROLD IS
EXPECTED TO BE IN RSMC NADI'S AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY BY 030600 UTC. 

FOR MORE INFORMATION, REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN
ISSUED BY BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, AUSTRALIA ON
WWW.BOM.GOV.AU/CGI-BIN/WRAP_FWO.PL?IDQ20018.TXT

*********************************************************************
*************** 

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.

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Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

Eastern Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the NHC
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 010504
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sat Nov 30 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
the 2019 eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season.  Routine issuance
of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2020.  During
the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Atlantic Tropical Storm Risk

Atlantic Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the NHC
000
ABNT20 KNHC 302332
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season.  Routine issuance of the
Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2020.  During the
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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Central Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

Central Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the CPHC
ACPN50 PHFO 010527
TWOCP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 PM HST Sat Nov 30 2019

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days.

This is the final routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook
for 2019. We will resume issuing these outlooks starting on June 1,
2020. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will
be issued as conditions warrant. 

$$
Forecaster Houston
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Servicio Meteorológico Nacional - Atlantic

Servicio Meteorológico Nacional - Eastern Pacific


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