( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
With the exception of the Central Pacific Basin, all tropical storm outlook areas are automatically displayed on the main Cyclocane map as well as on this page.
Below is the Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability for the next 48 hours per the RAMMB.
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS 18S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 18.1S 111.8E, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH A WELL- ORGANIZED UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER POSITIONED SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTH. A 190156Z MHS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES CURVED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN QUADRANTS WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE EASTERN QUADRANT DUE TO DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. A PARTIAL 190108Z ASCAT-B IMAGE INDICATES 25-30 KNOT WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY-FAVORABLE DUE PRIMARILY TO EXTENSIVE DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT IN THE MID- TO UPPER- LEVELS, OFFSET BY LOW VWS, ROBUST POLEWARD VENTING, AND WARM SST (27- 28 C). GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THE SYSTEM WILL REINTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS, BUT VARY SIGNIFICANTLY ON THE TIMING OF THE REDEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH SYSTEM. GFS INDICATES REDEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT TWO DAYS WHILE ECMWF INDICATES A LESS AGGRESSIVE 2-3 DAY REDEVELOPMENT TIMELINE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.back to the top
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 18MAR24 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (MEGAN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0S 136.7E, APPROXIMATELY 397 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 180900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNNback to the top
IDW10800 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology Western Australia Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Monday 25 September 2023 for the period until midnight WST Thursday 28 September 2023. Existing Cyclones in the Western Region: Nil. Potential Cyclones: There are no significant tropical lows in the region and none are expected to develop during the next seven days. Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on: Tuesday Very Low Wednesday Very Low Thursday Very Low NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day. Very Low: less than 5% Moderate: 20 to 50% Low: 5% to 20% High: over 50% The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533 532). Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
IDD10610 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology Northern Territory Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Sunday 30 April 2023 for the period until midnight CST Wednesday 3 May 2023. Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region: Nil. Potential Cyclones: There currently no significant tropical lows in the region, and none are expected to develop in the next seven days. Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on: Monday Very Low Tuesday Very Low Wednesday Very Low NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day. Very Low: less than 5% Moderate: 20 to 50% Low: 5% to 20% High: over 50% The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between 125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E). Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533 532). Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
IDQ10810 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology Queensland Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Sunday 30 April 2023 for the period until midnight EST Wednesday 3 May 2023. Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region: Nil. Potential Cyclones: There are currently no significant tropical lows in the region, and none are expected to develop in the next seven days. Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on: Monday Very Low Tuesday Very Low Wednesday Very Low NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day. Very Low: less than 5% Moderate: 20 to 50% Low: 5% to 20% High: over 50% The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533 532). Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
WWPS21 NFFN 190600 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 190807 UTC. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD12F [1005HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 16.0S 161.0E AT 190600UTC. TD12F SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI 9 EIR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT TO THE EAST OF THE EXPOSED LLCC IN THE CONVERGENT FLOW. TD12F LIES IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE UPPER DIVERGENCE. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPTO 700HPA. SST AROUND 29 DEGREES CELSIUS. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THIS SYSTEM AND KEEP IT SLOW MOVING WITH NO INTENSIFICATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS VERY LOW. ******************************************************************** NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 010500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1000 PM PST Thu Nov 30 2023 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2023 eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2024. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
000 ABNT20 KNHC 302312 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2024. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. $$ Forecaster Cangialosiback to the top
ACPN50 PHFO 031144 CCA TWOCP Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 PM HST Thu Nov 30 2023 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. The central North Pacific hurricane season officially ends today, November 30. The is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2023 central North Pacific Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2024. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. $$ Forecaster Bohlinback to the top
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