Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

Tropical Storm Risk - Tropical Weather Outlook

With the exception of the Central Pacific Basin, all tropical storm outlook areas are automatically displayed on the main Cyclocane map as well as on this page.

Detailed Tropical Weather Outlooks by Ocean Basin

Tropical Storm Potential for the next 48 hours

Below is the Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability for the next 48 hours per the RAMMB.

tropical cyclone potential the next 48 hours

Indian Ocean Tropical Storm Risk

Indian Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the JTWC

North Indian Ocean

1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.

South Indian Ocean

2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
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Northwest Pacific and South Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

West Pacific and South Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the JTWC

Northwest Pacific Ocean

1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 13.8N 132.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 128.5E, APPROXIMATELY 
594 NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
IMAGERY REVEALS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) IS BEING OBSCURED BY 
FLARING DEEP CONVECTION. A 240115Z MHS METOP-A 89GHZ PARTIAL 
MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS SCATTERED POCKETS OF DEEP CONVECTION IN THE 
VICINITY OF THE LLC. 94W IS IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH VERY WARM 
(30 TO 31 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES BEING PARTIALLY OFFSET 
BY LOW-TO-MODERATE (10 TO 20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR 
EQUATORWARD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE THAT 94W WILL 
CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWEST BEFORE RECURVING TO THE NORTHEAST AND 
INTENSIFYING IN APPROXIMATELY 72 HOURS LIKELY DEVELOPING INTO A 
SUBTROPICAL LOW. NAVGEM IS CURRENTLY AN OUTLIER, SHOWING 
SIGNIFICANTLY MORE DEVELOPMENT THAN THE OTHER GLOBAL MODELS.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.

South Pacific Ocean

2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
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Australia - Western Region Tropical Storm Risk

IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Monday 24 June 2019
for the period until midnight WST Thursday 27 June 2019.

Existing Cyclones in the  Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

There are no significant lows in the western region at present and none are
expected to develop over the next three days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Tuesday         Very Low   
Wednesday       Very Low   
Thursday        Very Low   



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.



Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

Australia - Northern Region Tropical Storm Risk

Outlook unavailable. Check back during cyclone season.

Australia - Eastern Region Tropical Storm Risk

Outlook unavailable. Check back during cyclone season.

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Fiji Tropical Storm Risk

WWPS21 NFFN 210600
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI May 210845 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD12F CENTRE [1008HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 11.7S
176.8E AT 210600UTC AND REMAINS SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON
HIMAWARI-8 IR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. 

CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED WITH CENTER EXPOSED AND ORGANISATION POOR.
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UP TO 700HPA. SYSTEM LIES IN A MODERATE
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. HIGH SHEAR LIES TO THE SOUTH WITH DRY AIR. SST
IS AROUND 29 DEGREES CELSIUS.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND KEEP IT SLOW MOVING
WESTERLY WITH NO INTENSIFICATION.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS VERY LOW.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY FOR THIS SYSTEM
UNLESS IT REINTENSIFIES.

*********************************************************************
***************

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.

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Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

Eastern Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the NHC
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241130
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Jun 24 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave
located a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico
have changed little in organization overnight. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the
next few days while the system moves west-northwestward away from
the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Latto/Brown

Atlantic Tropical Storm Risk

Atlantic Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the NHC
000
ABNT20 KNHC 241117
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Latto/Brown

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Central Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

Central Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the CPHC
ACPN50 PHFO 241148
TWOCP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
200 AM HST Mon Jun 24 2019

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Powell
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Servicio Meteorológico Nacional - Atlantic

Servicio Meteorológico Nacional - Eastern Pacific


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