Cyclocane

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Tropical Storm Risk - Tropical Weather Outlook

With the exception of the Central Pacific Basin, all tropical storm outlook areas are automatically displayed on the main Cyclocane map as well as on this page.

Detailed Tropical Weather Outlooks by Ocean Basin

South Pacific valid 2026-08-14T06:00:00.000Z
Northwest Pacific valid 2026-08-14T06:00:00.000Z
South Indian valid 2026-08-13T18:00:00.000Z
North Indian valid 2026-08-13T18:00:00.000Z
Central Pacific valid 2026-08-13T06:00:00.000Z
high low Atlantic valid 2026-08-13T06:00:00.000Z
high Eastern Pacific valid 2026-08-13T06:00:00.000Z
Fiji valid 2026-04-30T21:07:00.000Z
high Australia - Western Region valid 2022-05-07T19:08:00Z
Australia - Northern Region valid 2022-04-30T04:45:00Z
Australia - Eastern Region valid 2022-04-30T04:30:00Z

Tropical Storm Potential for the next 48 hours

Below is the Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability for the next 48 hours per the RAMMB.

tropical cyclone potential the next 48 hours

Indian Ocean Tropical Storm Risk

Indian Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the JTWC

North Indian Ocean

1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

South Indian Ocean

2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN

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Northwest Pacific and South Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

West Pacific and South Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the JTWC

Northwest Pacific Ocean

1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 13AUG26 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W (NANGKA) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 148.2E, APPROXIMATELY 323 NM EAST OF CHICHI JIMA, 
AND HAD TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 13AUG26 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (PEILOU) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 166.6E, APPROXIMATELY 786 NM NORTHEAST OF MINAMI 
TORI SHIMA, AND HAD TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE 
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 
KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 22N 
138E, APPROXIMATELY 245 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A VERY COMPACT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 
(LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION OVER THE CIRCULATION. A 130102Z ASCAT-C 
PASS REVEALS 20-25 KNOTS WINDS AROUND THE BULK OF THE CIRCULATION, 
WITH SOME HIGHER WINDS FURTHER TO THE SOUTH IN THE MONSOONAL 
SOUTHWESTERLIES. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS 
FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10 TO 15KTS), WARM SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29 TO 30 C), AND GOOD POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL 
OUTFLOW. DETERMINISTIC MODELS DEPICT A CIRCULATION THAT MOVES 
GENERALLY NORTH-NORTHEAST BUT DOES NOT DEVELOP  INTO A TROPICAL 
CYCLONE. ENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW THE RAPID ATTAINMENT, BUT SHORT-LIVED 
DURATION, OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTH AND A SIMILAR TRACK TO THE 
DETERMINISTIC MODELS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 22 TO 24 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO 
HIGH. SEE REF C (WTPN21 PGTW 130600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

South Pacific Ocean

2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN

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Australia - Western Region Tropical Storm Risk

IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Updated Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 3:08 am WST on Sunday 8 May 2022
for the period until midnight WST Tuesday 10 May 2022.

Existing Cyclones in the  Western Region:

Nil

Potential Cyclones:  

Tropical Cyclone Karim (36U) was located near 9.5S 90.1E at 2am WST Sunday,
just to the north of the Western Region. It is forcast to move into the region
during Sunday morning.

TC Karim will to continue moving towards the south to southeast over the coming
days. It is expected to maintain tropical cyclone intensity until it weakens in
the middle of the week, over open waters well to the west of the WA mainland.

TC Karim is expected to remain far enough west of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands
for there to be no direct impacts from this system, however shower and
thunderstorm activity should continue into early next week.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Monday          High       
Tuesday         High       


No other significant lows are expected in the region for at least the next 7
days.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Monday          Very Low   
Tuesday         Very Low   

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.



Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

Australia - Northern Region Tropical Storm Risk

IDD10610
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria
Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Saturday 30 April 2022
for the period until midnight CST Tuesday 3 May 2022.

Existing Cyclones in the  Northern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

There are no significant lows in the region and none are expected to develop
within the next 7 days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:
Sunday          Very Low   
Monday          Very Low   
Tuesday         Very Low   


This will be the final Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region until 1
November 2022.

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between
125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around
Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

Australia - Eastern Region Tropical Storm Risk

IDQ10810
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea
Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Saturday 30 April 2022
for the period until midnight EST Tuesday 3 May 2022.

Existing Cyclones in the  Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

There are no significant tropical lows currently in the region and none are
expected for the next 7 days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Sunday          Very Low   
Monday          Very Low   
Tuesday         Very Low   


This will be the final Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Eastern Region until 1
November 2022.

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea
west of 160E.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

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Fiji Tropical Storm Risk

WWPS21 NFFN 302100
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY FOR AREA EQUATOR TO 25S, 160E TO 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI APR 302107 UTC.

NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.


THIS WILL BE THE FINAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY FOR 2025/2026
TROPICAL CYCLONE SEASON UNLESS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
DEVELOPS.=

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Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

Eastern Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the NHC

391 
ABPZ20 KNHC 130522
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Aug 12 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on 
Potential Tropical Cyclone One-C, located about 895 miles 
east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

The National Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on newly 
formed Tropical Depression Eight-E, located a little over 1400 
miles west of the southern tip of Baja California. 

&&

Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One-C are issued 
under WMO header WTPA32 PHFO and under AWIPS header HFOTCPCP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One-C are issued 
under WMO header WTPA22 PHFO and under AWIPS header HFOTCMCP2.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight-E are issued under 
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight-E are issued under 
WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Katz/Beven

Atlantic Tropical Storm Risk

Atlantic Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the NHC

055 
ABNT20 KNHC 130526
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Aug 13 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Cristobal, located over the Atlantic well to the west of the 
Azores.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located 
midway between the Lesser Antilles and the west coast of Africa 
have become a little better organized since yesterday.  
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further 
development during the next day or so, and a tropical depression 
will likely form while the system moves westward to west- 
northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. Beginning on 
Friday, upper-level winds are likely to become too strong for 
development as the system approaches the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde 
Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for 
some development, and a tropical depression could form late this 
week or this weekend while the wave moves westward or west- 
northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Cristobal are issued under WMO 
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Cristobal are issued under 
WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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Central Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

Central Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the CPHC

ACPN50 PHFO 130522
TWOCP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM HST Wed Aug 12 2026

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
Potential Tropical Cyclone One-C, located about 895 miles
east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
The National Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on newly
formed Tropical Depression Eight-E, located a little over 1400
miles west of the southern tip of Baja California.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One-C are issued
under WMO header WTPA32 PHFO and under AWIPS header HFOTCPCP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One-C are issued
under WMO header WTPA22 PHFO and under AWIPS header HFOTCMCP2.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Katz/Beven
NNNN

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Servicio Meteorológico Nacional - Atlantic

Servicio Meteorológico Nacional - Eastern Pacific

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Hurricane Forecast | Tropical Storm Risk | Hurricane Spaghetti Models | Cyclone and Hurricane Names

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