( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
With the exception of the Central Pacific Basin, all tropical storm outlook areas are automatically displayed on the main Cyclocane map as well as on this page.
Below is the Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability for the next 48 hours per the RAMMB.
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNNback to the top
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 132.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 128.5E, APPROXIMATELY 594 NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) IS BEING OBSCURED BY FLARING DEEP CONVECTION. A 240115Z MHS METOP-A 89GHZ PARTIAL MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS SCATTERED POCKETS OF DEEP CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF THE LLC. 94W IS IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH VERY WARM (30 TO 31 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES BEING PARTIALLY OFFSET BY LOW-TO-MODERATE (10 TO 20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR EQUATORWARD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE THAT 94W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWEST BEFORE RECURVING TO THE NORTHEAST AND INTENSIFYING IN APPROXIMATELY 72 HOURS LIKELY DEVELOPING INTO A SUBTROPICAL LOW. NAVGEM IS CURRENTLY AN OUTLIER, SHOWING SIGNIFICANTLY MORE DEVELOPMENT THAN THE OTHER GLOBAL MODELS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNNback to the top
IDW10800 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology Western Australia Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Monday 24 June 2019 for the period until midnight WST Thursday 27 June 2019. Existing Cyclones in the Western Region: Nil. Potential Cyclones: There are no significant lows in the western region at present and none are expected to develop over the next three days. Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on: Tuesday Very Low Wednesday Very Low Thursday Very Low NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day. Very Low: less than 5% Moderate: 20 to 50% Low: 5% to 20% High: over 50% The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533 532). Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
Outlook unavailable. Check back during cyclone season.
Outlook unavailable. Check back during cyclone season.
WWPS21 NFFN 210600 Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI May 210845 UTC. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD12F CENTRE [1008HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 11.7S 176.8E AT 210600UTC AND REMAINS SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 IR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED WITH CENTER EXPOSED AND ORGANISATION POOR. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UP TO 700HPA. SYSTEM LIES IN A MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. HIGH SHEAR LIES TO THE SOUTH WITH DRY AIR. SST IS AROUND 29 DEGREES CELSIUS. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND KEEP IT SLOW MOVING WESTERLY WITH NO INTENSIFICATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS VERY LOW. THIS WILL BE THE LAST TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY FOR THIS SYSTEM UNLESS IT REINTENSIFIES. ********************************************************************* *************** NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 241130 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Jun 24 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico have changed little in organization overnight. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto/Brown
000 ABNT20 KNHC 241117 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Latto/Brownback to the top
ACPN50 PHFO 241148 TWOCP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 AM HST Mon Jun 24 2019 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Powellback to the top
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