Cyclocane

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Tropical Storm Risk - Tropical Weather Outlook

With the exception of the Central Pacific Basin, all tropical storm outlook areas are automatically displayed on the main Cyclocane map as well as on this page.

Detailed Tropical Weather Outlooks by Ocean Basin

Tropical Storm Potential for the next 48 hours

Below is the Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability for the next 48 hours per the RAMMB.

tropical cyclone potential the next 48 hours

Indian Ocean Tropical Storm Risk

Indian Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the JTWC

North Indian Ocean

1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

South Indian Ocean

2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
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Northwest Pacific and South Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

West Pacific and South Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the JTWC

Northwest Pacific Ocean

1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

South Pacific Ocean

2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
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Australia - Western Region Tropical Storm Risk

IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Wednesday 16 June 2021
for the period until midnight WST Saturday 19 June 2021.

Existing Cyclones in the  Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

There are no significant tropical systems in the region and none are expected
to develop in the next three days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Thursday        Very Low   
Friday          Very Low   
Saturday        Very Low   



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.



Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

Australia - Northern Region Tropical Storm Risk

IDD10610
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria
Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Friday 30 April 2021
for the period until midnight CST Monday 3 May 2021.

Existing Cyclones in the  Northern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

There are no significant tropical lows in the region and none are expected to
develop during the next three days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:
Saturday        Very Low   
Sunday          Very Low   
Monday          Very Low   


This will be the final Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region until 1
November 2021.

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between
125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around
Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

Australia - Eastern Region Tropical Storm Risk

IDQ10810
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea
Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Friday 30 April 2021
for the period until midnight EST Monday 3 May 2021.

Existing Cyclones in the  Eastern Region:

None.

Potential Cyclones:  

There are no significant tropical lows in the Eastern Region and none are
expected to develop during the next three days.

This will be the final Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the 2020/21 season. The
next issue will be on 1 November 2021.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Saturday        Very Low   
Sunday          Very Low   
Monday          Very Low   



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea
west of 160E.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

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Fiji Tropical Storm Risk

WWPS21 NFFN 110000
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jun 110046 UTC.

NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.

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Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

Eastern Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the NHC
283 
ABPZ20 KNHC 161140
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Jun 16 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Carlos, located about 1900 miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles 
south of the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a broad 
trough of low pressure.  A low-pressure system is expected to 
develop along this trough within the next couple of days, and 
environmental conditions should be favorable for gradual development 
of this disturbance later this week.  A tropical depression could 
form by the weekend while the system moves west-northwestward at 5 
to 10 mph, offshore of and parallel to the southwestern coast of 
Mexico.  Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely over the 
Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero, and Michoacan during the next 
few days, and these rains could cause life-threatening flash floods 
and mud slides. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg

Atlantic Tropical Storm Risk

Atlantic Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the NHC
000
ABNT20 KNHC 161140
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jun 16 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of 
Campeche and southern Mexico in association with a broad low 
pressure area.  This system will move little today and tonight, and 
little if any development is expected during that time due 
to interaction with land.  However, the broad disturbance should 
begin to move northward on Thursday, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form by late Thursday or on Friday when the low moves 
across the western Gulf of Mexico.  Regardless of development, heavy 
rainfall will continue over portions of Central America and southern 
Mexico during the next several days.  Heavy rains should also begin 
to affect portions of the northern Gulf Coast on Friday.  Please 
consult products from your local meteorological service for more 
information. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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Central Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

Central Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the CPHC
ACPN50 PHFO 161125
TWOCP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
200 AM HST Wed Jun 16 2021

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

The National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida is issuing 
advisories on Tropical Depression Carlos, centered about 1500 miles 
east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. The remnant low of Carlos is 
expected to move into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center area of 
responsibility Thursday night and then dissipate Friday.

No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Carlos are issued under 
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast Advisories on Tropical Depression Carlos are issued under 
WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Morrison
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Servicio Meteorológico Nacional - Atlantic

Servicio Meteorológico Nacional - Eastern Pacific


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