Cyclocane

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Tropical Storm Risk - Tropical Weather Outlook

With the exception of the Central Pacific Basin, all tropical storm outlook areas are automatically displayed on the main Cyclocane map as well as on this page.

Detailed Tropical Weather Outlooks by Ocean Basin

Tropical Storm Potential for the next 48 hours

Below is the Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability for the next 48 hours per the RAMMB.

tropical cyclone potential the next 48 hours

Indian Ocean Tropical Storm Risk

Indian Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the JTWC

North Indian Ocean

1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.

South Indian Ocean

2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 241200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (JOANINHA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
17.1S 61.7E, APPROXIMATELY 308 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, 
AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 241500) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) AT 241200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (VERONICA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
20.7S 117.9E, APPROXIMATELY 233 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, 
AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE 
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 
KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 241500) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
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Northwest Pacific and South Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

West Pacific and South Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the JTWC

Northwest Pacific Ocean

1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.

South Pacific Ocean

2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
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Australia - Western Region Tropical Storm Risk

IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 2:04 pm WST on Monday 25 March 2019
for the period until midnight WST Thursday 28 March 2019.

Existing Cyclones in the  Western Region:

Tropical Cyclone Veronica was located near 20.4S 117.1E at 2pm WST Monday,
approximately 45km northeast of Karratha. It is forecast continue moving west
and weaken below tropical cyclone intensity later Monday. If it does remain a
tropical cyclone into Tuesday then it is very likely to weaken during the early
morning. Please refer to http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/ for more detailed and
up to date information.

Likelihood of this system remaining a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Tuesday         Low        
Wednesday       Very Low   
Thursday        Very Low   

Potential Cyclones:  

There are no other significant tropical systems expected in the region for at
least the next three days.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Tuesday         Very Low   
Wednesday       Very Low   
Thursday        Very Low   



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.



Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

Australia - Northern Region Tropical Storm Risk

IDD10610
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria
Issued at 2:17 pm CST on Monday 25 March 2019
for the period until midnight CST Thursday 28 March 2019.

Existing Cyclones in the  Northern Region:


Ex-Tropical Cyclone "Trevor" is now travelling southeast as a deep monsoonal
low across the southeast Barkly. Tropical Cyclone Advices have ceased. The low
is expected to move into Queensland interior on Tuesday. A Severe Weather
Warning is current for these southeast districts [www.bom.gov.au/nt/warnings].

Likelihood of this system remaining a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region
on:
Tuesday         Very Low.  
Wednesday       Very Low.  
Thursday        Very Low.  

Potential Cyclones:  

There are no other significant lows in the region and none are expected to
develop during the next three days.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:
Tuesday         Very Low.  
Wednesday       Very Low.  
Thursday        Very Low.  



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between
125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around
Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

Australia - Eastern Region Tropical Storm Risk

IDQ10810
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea
Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Monday 25 March 2019
for the period until midnight EST Thursday 28 March 2019.

Existing Cyclones in the  Eastern Region:

##

Potential Cyclones:  

There are no significant tropical lows in the eastern region and none are
expected to develop during the next three days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Tuesday         Very Low   
Wednesday       Very Low   
Thursday        Very Low   



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea
west of 160E.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

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Fiji Tropical Storm Risk

WWPS21 NFFN 250600
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 250820 UTC.

NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.

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Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

Eastern Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the NHC
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 051541
TWOEP 

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
740 AM PST Sat Jan 5 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower activity associated with a broad low pressure system centered
about 1100 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula has become less organized since yesterday.
Environmental conditions have become unfavorable and tropical or
subtropical cyclone development is not anticipated. Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service. This is the last Special
Tropical Weather Outlook that will be issued on this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May
15, 2019.  During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks
will be issued as conditions warrant.

&&

High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service
under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and are
available on the web at
https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

Atlantic Tropical Storm Risk

Atlantic Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the NHC
000
ABNT20 KNHC 302336
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Fri Nov 30 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season.  Routine issuance of the
Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2019.  During the
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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Central Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

Central Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the CPHC
ACPN50 PHFO 010540
TWOCP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 PM HST Fri Nov 30 2018

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
the 2018 central North Pacific hurricane season. Routine issuance
of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2019. During
the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Jelsema
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Servicio Meteorológico Nacional - Atlantic

Servicio Meteorológico Nacional - Eastern Pacific


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