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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at
Spaghetti models for KROSA can be found here:
WTPN33 PGTW 160300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 11W (KROSA) WARNING NR 042// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 11W (KROSA) WARNING NR 042 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z --- NEAR 39.4N 134.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 195 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 39.4N 134.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 42.3N 137.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 44.3N 139.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 160300Z POSITION NEAR 40.1N 135.6E. 16AUG19. TROPICAL STORM 11W (KROSA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 296 NM WEST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS THE SYSTEM IS CONTINUING TO ERODE AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK THROUGH THE SEA OF JAPAN (SOJ). THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH LOW CONFIDENCE BASED ON A BROAD AND RAGGED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) THAT IS POORLY-DEFINED IN MSI. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS IN LINE WITH A PARTIAL 160048Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS SHOWING SWATHS OF 35 KNOT WIND BARBS SIGNIFICANTLY DISPLACED FROM THE CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW (10-15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) ARE BECOMING UNFAVORABLE (24-25 DEGREES CELSIUS). TS 11W IS TRACKING ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE SOUTHEAST. TS 11W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY TAU 12. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 13 FEET.// NNNN
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
35 knots | 39.4, 134.9 | ||
35 knots | 42.3, 137.5 | ||
35 knots | 44.3, 139.9 |
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