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Andrea Storm Tracker

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Tropical Outlook

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      ABNT20 KNHC 011132
      Tropical Weather Outlook
      NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
      800 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2019
      For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
      A broad area of low pressure located over the southern Bay of
      Campeche is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  The
      low is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward across the
      southern Bay of Campeche toward the east coast of Mexico during the
      next few days.  If the system remains over water, a tropical
      depression could form before it moves inland early next week.
      Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely produce heavy
      rainfall over portions of southern and southeastern Mexico during
      the next few days.
      * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
      * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
      Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which
      will run until November 30.  Long-term averages for the number of
      named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 12, 6, and 3,
      The list of names for 2019 is as follows:
      Name           Pronunciation    Name            Pronunciation
      Andrea         AN-dree-uh       Lorenzo         loh-REN-zoh
      Barry          BAIR-ree         Melissa         meh-LIH-suh
      Chantal        shahn-TAHL       Nestor          NES-tor
      Dorian         DOR-ee-an        Olga            OAL-guh
      Erin           AIR-rin          Pablo           PAHB-lo
      Fernand        fair-NAHN        Rebekah         reh-BEH-kuh
      Gabrielle      ga-bree-ELL      Sebastien       suh-BASH-chuhn
      Humberto       oom-BAIR-toh     Tanya           TAHN-yuh
      Imelda         ee-MEHL-dah      Van             van
      Jerry          JEHR-ee          Wendy           WEN-dee
      Karen          KAIR-ren
      One named cyclone, Andrea, already formed this year in May.  The
      next named storm that forms this season will be Barry.
      This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes
      significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for
      tropical cyclone formation during the next five days.  The issuance
      times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 AM, and 8 PM EDT.  After the
      change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 1 AM, 7
      AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.
      A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
      updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances
      of the Tropical Weather Outlook.  Special Tropical Weather Outlooks
      will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular
      Tropical Weather Outlooks.
      A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone
      public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and
      a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours for all
      ongoing tropical cyclones.  In addition, a special advisory package
      may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected
      changes or to modify watches or warnings.
      The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of
      significant changes in a tropical cyclone or to post or cancel
      watches or warnings.  It is used in lieu of or to precede the
      issuance of a special advisory package.  Tropical Cyclone Updates,
      which can be issued at any time, can be found under WMO header
      WTNT61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUAT1-5.
      All National Hurricane Center text and graphical products are
      available on the web at You can also
      interact with NHC on Facebook at
      Notifications are available via Twitter when select National
      Hurricane Center products are issued.  Information about our
      Atlantic Twitter feed (@NHC_Atlantic) is available at
      Forecaster Cangialosi

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