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Current View of the Northwest Pacific Basin

Tropical Outlook

Per current tropical weather outlooks, the highest current potential of a new tropical cyclone in this basin is medium.

Northwest Pacific Active Storms

No active storms


1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
         A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
         B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
            (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 
      135.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 132.9E, APPROXIMATELY 835 NM 
      SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 
      150041Z AMSU 89GHZ IMAGE AND A 150042Z METOP-A ASCAT PASS DEPICT A 
      CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION. 
      UPPER ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW SYSTEM IN AREA OF LOW (5-15 KNOT) 
      VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES 
      (29-30 CELSIUS) ARE FAVORABLE FOR SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS 
      ARE IN AGREEMENT SHOWING A NORTHWEST TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS 
      WITH GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
      ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
      TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
      SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO 
      MEDIUM.
            (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.


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