Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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PTC-ONE-C Current Status

Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 60 knots / 70 MPH at 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z

PTC-ONE-C Land Hazards

• SURF - Surf generated by the remnants of Fausto is building westward across the Hawaiian Islands along exposed east-facing shores and will remain dangerous today as the system passes north of the islands. Large surf and strong currents will lead to dangerous conditions along exposed shores. Please consult products from your local weather office.

PTC-ONE-C Tracker

PTC-ONE-C Satellite Loop

PTC-ONE-C Alternate Tracking Map

PTC-ONE-C Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for PTC-ONE-C can be found here:

PTC-ONE-C spaghetti models page »

PTC-ONE-C Watches and Warnings

Potential Tropical Cyclone PTC-ONE-C Tropical Cyclone Update

Potential Tropical Cyclone PTC-ONE-C Public Advisory

000
WTPA31 PHFO 291433
TCPCP1
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Fausto Advisory Number  43
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP062026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Wed Jul 29 2026
 
...FAUSTO DEGENERATES TO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA...
...SIGNIFICANT SURF STILL EXPECTED FOR THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
TODAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 155.6W
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM N OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM NE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of
the remnants of Fausto.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Fausto
was located near latitude 23.8 North, longitude 155.6 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest near     
13 mph (20 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue 
for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, Fausto will 
pass north of the Hawaiian Islands through this evening.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is expected, and the post-tropical cyclone is forecast to 
weaken to a trough by Friday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Fausto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP1 and WMO header WTPA41 PHFO.
 
SURF: Surf generated by the remnants of Fausto is building westward
across the Hawaiian Islands along exposed east-facing shores and
will remain dangerous today as the system passes north of the
islands.  Large surf and strong currents will lead to dangerous
conditions along exposed shores.  Please consult products from your
local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the Central Pacific
Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the 
remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National 
Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
 
$$
Forecaster Beven

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Potential Tropical Cyclone PTC-ONE-C Forecast Discussion

000
WTPA41 PHFO 121454
TCDCP1
 
Potential Tropical Cyclone One-C Discussion Number   1
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Wed Aug 12 2026

The disturbance well to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands 
is expected to become a tropical storm within the next day or so 
and be near the Islands by late Friday.  Given the potential for 
significant impacts over the Hawaiian Islands, Potential Tropical 
Cyclone advisories are being initiated at this time.  The system's 
cloud pattern is elongated from southwest to northeast with most of 
the deep convection well to the southwest of the center.  The 
disturbance currently lacks sufficiently organized convection to be 
classified as a tropical cyclone, and the Dvorak classifications 
from Honolulu are T1.0/1.0.  Scatterometer data suggests that the 
intensity is near 30 kt,

Satellite fixes indicate that the system is moving generally 
westward and the initial motion estimate is 270/9 kt.  Dynamical 
models show a mid-level high pressure system persisting to the 
north of the disturbance.  This steering pattern should result in 
a generally west-northwestward track for the next several days.  
The simple and corrected model consensus and Google DeepMind track 
predictions are in reasonable agreement, and the official forecast 
follows this guidance closely.  Given that the system is still in 
the formative stage, the precise track is still somewhat 
uncertain. 

The atmospheric and oceanic environment look conducive for gradual 
strengthening during the next few days.  Based on the intensity 
models, the system is expected to be nearing hurricane strength by 
the time it nears the Hawaiian Islands.  However, an upper-level 
low/trough could limit strengthening while the system passes near 
or over the Islands.

Key Messages:

1. The disturbance is expected to become a tropical storm later 
today or tonight and strengthen while it moves west-northwestward 
near or over the Hawaiian Islands late this week and this weekend.
Although it is too soon to specify the exact location and magnitude 
of impacts, residents should closely monitor the latest forecast 
updates and ensure that they have their preparedness plan in place. 

2. Heavy rainfall associated with the system is expected to begin 
to impact the Big Island Friday, spreading westward into Maui on 
Saturday, and across Lanai, Molokai, Oahu and Kauai on Sunday.  This 
rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, 
especially in areas of steep terrain.

3. There is an increasing risk of wind and wave impacts in the 
Hawaiian Islands regardless of the exact track and intensity of the 
system.  Hurricane or Tropical Storm Watches may be required for 
portions of the Hawaiian Islands tonight or early Thursday.

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  12/1500Z 15.0N 141.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
 12H  13/0000Z 15.3N 142.9W   35 KT  40 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
 24H  13/1200Z 15.9N 144.1W   40 KT  45 MPH
 36H  14/0000Z 16.9N 145.9W   45 KT  50 MPH
 48H  14/1200Z 17.9N 148.3W   50 KT  60 MPH
 60H  15/0000Z 18.6N 150.8W   55 KT  65 MPH
 72H  15/1200Z 19.1N 153.2W   60 KT  70 MPH
 96H  16/1200Z 20.6N 158.3W   60 KT  70 MPH
120H  17/1200Z 22.3N 163.7W   60 KT  70 MPH
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch

PTC-ONE-C storm path from NHC

site by Hayley Croft

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