Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.

ONE Current Status

Current Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 45 knots / 52 MPH at

ONE Land Hazards

India

No land hazards or hazard data not available for this storm.

ONE Tracker

ONE Satellite Loop

ONE Alternate Tracking Map

ONE Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for ONE can be found here:

ONE spaghetti models page »

ONE Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE Public Advisory

WTIO31 PGTW 170300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01A (ONE) WARNING NR 002    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   170000Z --- NEAR 13.1N 48.9E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N 48.9E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   171200Z --- 12.9N 47.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   180000Z --- 12.5N 46.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   181200Z --- 12.0N 45.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   190000Z --- 11.5N 44.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   200000Z --- 10.6N 43.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
170300Z POSITION NEAR 13.0N 48.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01A (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 229 NM EAST OF
ADEN, YEMEN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED, WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE, ON LOW-
LEVEL TURNING EVIDENT IN A 162143Z AMSR2 PASS AND A 170000Z 
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY FIX FROM PGTW. THE INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS 
IS SET SLIGHTLY ABOVE RECENT DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T2.5 
FROM PGTW AND KNES BASED ON THE IMPROVING CONVECTIVE BANDING 
STRUCTURE. TC 01A HAS TURNED WESTWARD OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS UNDER 
THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH 
AND LOW TO MID-LEVEL FLOW FOLLOWING THE COASTAL TERRAIN. THE SYSTEM 
IS EXPECTED TO TURN SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER 
THE CONTINUOUS INFLUENCE OF THESE STEERING FEATURES. THE 
ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION IN THE 
NEAR-TERM, WITH WARM ALONG-TRACK SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (ABOUT 
30C), LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR(10-15 KNOTS) AND A SUPPORTIVE 
POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN. A CONSTRAINED INFLOW PATTERN 
RESULTING FROM THE PROXIMITY TO LAND AND A LESS FAVORABLE UPPER-
LEVEL FLOW PATTERN ARE EXPECTED TO HALT THIS INTENSIFICATION TREND 
AND LEAD TO SLOW WEAKENING AFTER TAU 24.IT IS ALSO WORTH NOTING 
THAT SMALL DEVIATIONS IN THE TRACK COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT 
INTENSITY CHANGES DUE TO POTENTIAL LAND INTERACTION. NUMERICAL 
MODEL TRACK FORECAST GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD OVERALL AGREEMENT AND THE 
SYNOPTIC STEERING PATTERN IS RELATIVELY STRAIGHTFORWARD, LENDING 
HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE CURRENT JTWC TRACK FORECAST.  MAXIMUM 
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 11 FEET.NEXT WARNINGS AT 
170900Z, 171500Z, 172100Z AND 180300Z.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

ONE storm path from JTWC

Time Speed Location Status
40 knots 13.1, 48.9
45 knots 12.9, 47.9
45 knots 12.5, 46.7
40 knots 12.0, 45.6
35 knots 11.5, 44.6
30 knots 10.6, 43.0 dissipated


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