Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
PAINE Current Status
...PAINE BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
Current Wind Speed 25 knots / 30 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 25 knots / 30 MPH at
PAINE Land Hazards
PAINE Tracker
PAINE Satellite Loop
PAINE Alternate Tracking Map
PAINE Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for PAINE can be found here:
PAINE Watches and Warnings
Post-Tropical Cyclone PAINE Tropical Cyclone Update
Post-Tropical Cyclone PAINE Public Advisory
000 WTPZ32 KNHC 052041 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Paine Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172022 300 PM MDT Wed Oct 05 2022 ...PAINE BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.3N 114.8W ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Paine was located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 114.8 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A westward to west-northwestward motion is expected over the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and the remnant low is expected to dissipate within a couple of days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Paine. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Brown
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Post-Tropical Cyclone PAINE Forecast Discussion
000 WTPZ42 KNHC 052043 TCDEP2 Post-Tropical Cyclone Paine Discussion Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172022 300 PM MDT Wed Oct 05 2022 Paine has been devoid of organized deep convection for about 18 hours, and it now consists of a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds. Therefore, the system no longer meets the definition of a tropical cyclone, and the system has become post-tropical. The initial intensity has been reduced to 25 kt, which is based on recent ASCAT data. Strong shear and less favorable thermodynamic conditions are expected to cause additional weakening over the next day or so. The global model guidance indicates that the remnant low will degenerate into a trough of low pressure within 48 hours. Now that Paine has become vertically shallow, it has turned west-northwestward. A continued slow west-northwestward to westward motion within the low-level flow should continue until dissipation occurs. The updated NHC track forecast has been adjusted southward and it lies along the southern side of the guidance envelope. This is the last NHC forecast advisory on Paine. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/2100Z 18.3N 114.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 06/0600Z 18.4N 115.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 06/1800Z 18.6N 115.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 07/0600Z 18.7N 116.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown
PAINE storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 knots | 18.3, -114.8 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 25 knots | 18.4, -115.1 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 20 knots | 18.6, -115.6 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 20 knots | 18.7, -116.1 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 0 knots | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
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