Cyclocane

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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

Go to the main page to see active storms.

Hurricane Time Machine

OPHELIA Current Status

...OPHELIA BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL LOW BUT CONTINUES TO POSE A RISK OF COASTAL AND FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE U.S. MID-ATLANTIC... ...FUTURE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER...

Current Wind Speed 20 knots / 25 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 25 knots / 30 MPH at

Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite

current US watches/warnings

map of current weather alerts in the United States

current radar loop

NWS weather radar loop of the coastal areas

If you're looking for other US radar loops, check out Radar Monster.

future radar imagery

future radar image of the Atlantic Ocean basin showing future possible storms and future locations of current storms

(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)

If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.

OPHELIA Land Hazards

NWS Local Hurricane Statements

OPHELIA Tracker

OPHELIA Satellite Loop

visible satellite loop of Post-Tropical Cyclone OPHELIA from wisc.edu

OPHELIA Alternate Tracking Map

OPHELIA Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for OPHELIA can be found here:

OPHELIA spaghetti models page »

OPHELIA Watches and Warnings

National Hurricane Center image showing current coastal watches and warnings and future OPHELIA predicted path

Post-Tropical Cyclone OPHELIA Tropical Cyclone Update

Post-Tropical Cyclone OPHELIA Public Advisory

000
WTNT31 KNHC 240240
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Ophelia Advisory Number  11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL162023
1100 PM EDT Sat Sep 23 2023
 
...OPHELIA BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL LOW BUT CONTINUES TO POSE A
RISK OF COASTAL AND FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE U.S. MID-ATLANTIC...
...FUTURE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.1N 77.6W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSW OF RICHMOND VIRGINIA
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SE OF CHARLOTTESVILLE VIRGINIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
Coastal flood warnings, as well as flood watches and flash flood
warnings, remain in effect for portions of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Ophelia was located near latitude 37.1 North, longitude 77.6 West.
Ophelia is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h).  The 
center of Ophelia is expected to turn toward the north-northeast 
and northeast, moving across eastern Virginia and the Delmarva 
Peninsula through Sunday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so.  
The post-tropical low is expected to become absorbed by a frontal 
boundary Sunday night or early Monday.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Ophelia can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC,
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml
 
STORM SURGE:  Water levels remain elevated within portions of
Chesapeake Bay and its tidal rivers but should gradually recede
overnight and into Sunday.  For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.
 
RAINFALL:  Ophelia is expected to produce the following additional
rainfall through Sunday night:
 
Portions of the Mid-Atlantic from Virginia through New Jersey...1
to 3 inches with isolated higher totals up to 5 inches.
 
Across southeastern New York through southern New England...1 to 3
inches.
 
This rainfall may produce localized flash, urban, and small stream
flooding impacts, particularly across the Mid-Atlantic region from
Virginia to New Jersey. Isolated river flooding is possible in areas
of heavier rainfall.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Ophelia will continue to affect much of
the east coast of the United States through the weekend.  These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Ophelia.  Future information on this system can be 
found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center 
beginning at 500 AM EDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT1, WMO header 
WTNT31 KWNH, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov.
 
$$
Forecaster Berg

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Post-Tropical Cyclone OPHELIA Forecast Discussion

ZCZC NFDTCDAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KWNH DDHHMM
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Ophelia Discussion Number  12
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL162023
500 AM EDT Sun Sep 24 2023
 
Key Messages:
 
1. Coastal flooding will continue along portions of Chesapeake Bay
and its tidal rivers through today.  Refer to statements from your
local National Weather Service Forecast Office for additional
information.
 
2. Heavy rainfall from Ophelia may produce localized flash and
urban flooding impacts across portions of the Mid-Atlantic states
from Virginia to New Jersey through today.
 
3. Swells generated by Ophelia will affect much of the U.S. east
coast through the remainder of the weekend, likely causing 
life-threatening surf and rip currents.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  24/0900Z 37.7N  77.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  24/1800Z 39.2N  76.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  25/0600Z 39.3N  74.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  25/1800Z 38.9N  72.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 
$$
Forecaster Carbin
 
NNNN

OPHELIA storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
20 knots 37.7, -77.3 translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL
20 knots 39.2, -76.5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
25 knots 39.3, -74.9 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
25 knots 38.9, -72.9 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE


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