Cyclocane
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This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.
FOURTEEN-E Current Status
...DEPRESSION LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY...
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 75 knots / 85 MPH at
FOURTEEN-E Land Hazards
FOURTEEN-E Tracker
FOURTEEN-E Satellite Loop
FOURTEEN-E Alternate Tracking Map
FOURTEEN-E Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for FOURTEEN-E can be found here:
FOURTEEN-E spaghetti models page »
FOURTEEN-E Watches and Warnings
Tropical Depression FOURTEEN-E Tropical Cyclone Update
Tropical Depression FOURTEEN-E Public Advisory
000 WTPZ34 KNHC 100233 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142026 800 PM PDT Wed Sep 09 2026 ...DEPRESSION LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.4N 116.6W ABOUT 625 MI...1005 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fourteen-E was located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 116.6 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph, and a generally westward motion is expected over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm on Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Tropical Depression FOURTEEN-E Forecast Discussion
722 WTPZ44 KNHC 100233 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142026 800 PM PDT Wed Sep 09 2026 There has been no significant increase in the overall organization of the tropical cyclone over the past several hours. The system is producing vigorous deep convection well east of the estimated center location with cloud tops to -80 deg C or colder. These heavy showers and thunderstorms are not very well organized with little evidence of convective banding at this time. There is some westerly shear over the depression since the low-level center is near the western edge of the main cloud mass. Given that the system has not become much better organized since the previous advisory, the intensity is held at 30 kt for now. This is just a little below the subjective Dvorak estimate. The center appears to have reformed in the low-level vorticity maximum on the northern side of the broad circulation, and is a little to the north of the previous track. A mid-tropospheric ridge should prevail to the north of the system for the next several days, which should keep the cyclone moving on a generally westward track. Late in the forecast period, the ridge shifts westward and builds a little. This could result in a gradual turn to the left around day 5. The official forecast is a little north of the previous NHC track and is close to the latest corrected consensus, HCCA, guidance. The system is expected to be in a reasonably conductive environment for intensification in a few days. However, the current westerly shear could be an impediment to short-term strengthening. Also, some arc clouds have been seen emanating from the cyclone on visible satellite imagery, which is usually indicative of the presence of some dry mid-level air. However, these negative factors are expected to be short-lived, and the system is forecast to strengthen and eventually become a hurricane. The official intensity forecast is similar to the simple and corrected consensus intensity model predictions and is the same as in the previous advisory. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/0300Z 16.4N 116.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 10/1200Z 16.7N 118.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 11/0000Z 16.8N 121.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 11/1200Z 16.8N 123.6W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 12/0000Z 16.7N 126.0W 55 KT 65 MPH 60H 12/1200Z 17.0N 128.3W 60 KT 70 MPH 72H 13/0000Z 17.4N 129.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 96H 14/0000Z 18.0N 133.2W 70 KT 80 MPH 120H 15/0000Z 18.1N 136.8W 75 KT 85 MPH $$ Forecaster Pasch
FOURTEEN-E storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 knots | 16.4, -116.6 | ||
| 35 knots | 16.7, -118.5 | ||
| 40 knots | 16.8, -121.1 | ||
| 45 knots | 16.8, -123.6 | ||
| 55 knots | 16.7, -126.0 | ||
| 60 knots | 17.0, -128.3 | ||
| 65 knots | 17.4, -129.8 | ||
| 70 knots | 18.0, -133.2 | ||
| 75 knots | 18.1, -136.8 |
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