Cyclocane

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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

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This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.

FOURTEEN-E Current Status

...DEPRESSION DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

Current Wind Speed 25 knots / 30 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 25 knots / 30 MPH at

FOURTEEN-E Land Hazards

México
Avisos y Alertas
Guatemala
Boletín Meteorológico Informativo
Belize
El Salvador
Informes Especiales

FOURTEEN-E Tracker

FOURTEEN-E Satellite Loop

visible satellite loop of Post-Tropical Cyclone FOURTEEN-E from wisc.edu

visible satellite loop of Post-Tropical Cyclone FOURTEEN-E from wisc.edu

FOURTEEN-E Alternate Tracking Map

FOURTEEN-E Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for FOURTEEN-E can be found here:

FOURTEEN-E spaghetti models page »

FOURTEEN-E Watches and Warnings

Post-Tropical Cyclone FOURTEEN-E Tropical Cyclone Update

Post-Tropical Cyclone FOURTEEN-E Public Advisory

000
WTPZ34 KNHC 250231
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Fourteen-E Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP142023
800 PM PDT Sun Sep 24 2023
 
...DEPRESSION DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.0N 126.5W
ABOUT 1210 MI...1950 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 126.5
West.  The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 14
mph (22 km/h).  A westward or west-southwestward motion at a 
similar forward speed is expected during the next day or so.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so, 
but the low is expected to open up into a trough by Tuesday.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  For additional information on the remnant 
low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and 
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

 
$$
Forecaster Berg

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Post-Tropical Cyclone FOURTEEN-E Forecast Discussion

000
WTPZ44 KNHC 250232
TCDEP4
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Fourteen-E Discussion Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP142023
800 PM PDT Sun Sep 24 2023
 
Significant deep convection associated with the depression 
dissipated about 18 hours ago.  Minor shower and thunderstorm 
activity has been ongoing since earlier this afternoon just south of 
the center, but it is not large enough in areal coverage to be 
considered organized and it has recently been waning.  The latest 
Dvorak estimates are T1.0/2.0 from TAFB and Too Weak to Classify 
from SAB, therefore the system is being declared a remnant low with 
maximum winds of 25 kt.
 
The remnant low is expected to move westward or west-southwestward 
at 12-14 kt within the trade wind flow during the next couple of 
days.  Strong northwesterly mid-level shear is currently affecting 
the low, and the shear is expected to increase within a deeper layer 
of the atmosphere over the next 24 hours.  This, along with a dry 
and subsident environment, should prevent significant deep 
convection from redeveloping, although occasional bursts of 
convection cannot be ruled out.  The NHC forecast now shows the low 
opening up into a trough and dissipating by 48 hours, although this 
could occur sooner according to the GFS and ECMWF forecast surface 
wind fields.

For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  25/0300Z 15.0N 126.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  25/1200Z 14.9N 128.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  26/0000Z 14.6N 131.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  26/1200Z 13.9N 134.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  27/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Berg

FOURTEEN-E storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
25 knots 15.0, -126.5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
25 knots 14.9, -128.4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
25 knots 14.6, -131.1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
25 knots 13.9, -134.0 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
0 knots translation missing: en.DISSIPATED


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