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This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.
NINE Current Status
...DEPRESSION NOW MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD... ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS, WITH WINDS SOON INCREASING OVER THE BAHAMAS...
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 80 knots / 90 MPH at
Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite
current US watches/warnings
live tornado/thunderstorm tracker - tornadohq
future radar imagery - my future radar
future radar imagery
(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)
If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.
NINE Land Hazards
NWS Local Hurricane Statements
- No warnings
- WIND - Tropical storm conditions are expected in the central Bahamas beginning later today and in the northwestern Bahamas late this afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area along the east coast of Florida on Monday.
- RAINFALL - Tropical Depression Nine is expected to produce additional rainfall of 2 to 6 inches across eastern Cuba and 6 to 12 inches across the northwest Bahamas through Tuesday. This rainfall will likely produce flash and urban flooding. Mudslides are also possible in areas of higher terrain across eastern Cuba.
- STORM SURGE - A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds in the northwestern Bahamas. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large waves.
- SURF - Swells generated by this system and Hurricane Humberto will affect portions of the Bahamas this weekend, and spread to much of the east coast of the U.S. early this week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
NINE Tracker
NINE Satellite Loop
NINE Alternate Tracking Map
NINE Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for NINE can be found here:
NINE Watches and Warnings
Tropical Depression NINE Tropical Cyclone Update
Tropical Depression NINE Public Advisory
000 WTNT34 KNHC 281450 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nine Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092025 1100 AM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025 ...DEPRESSION NOW MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD... ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS, WITH WINDS SOON INCREASING OVER THE BAHAMAS... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.5N 77.3W ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM NW OF THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM W OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Central Bahamas, including Cat Island, the Exumas, Long Island, Rum Cay, and San Salvador * Portions of the northwestern Bahamas, including Eleuthera, New Providence, the Abacos, Berry Islands, Andros island, and Grand Bahama Island A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East coast of Florida from the Palm Beach/Martin County Line to the Flagler/Volusia County Line A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Bahamas and along the southeast coast of the United States should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine was located by Air Force reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 23.5 North, longitude 77.3 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h). A faster motion to the north-northwest or north is expected later today and continuing through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of the system is expected to move across the central and northwestern Bahamas later today and tonight and then turn east-northeastward, moving away from the southeastern U.S. by the middle part of this week. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected during the next few days, and the system is forecast to become a tropical storm later today and a hurricane by late Monday or Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Depression Nine can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the central Bahamas beginning later today and in the northwestern Bahamas late this afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area along the east coast of Florida on Monday. RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Nine is expected to produce additional rainfall of 2 to 6 inches across eastern Cuba and 6 to 12 inches across the northwest Bahamas through Tuesday. This rainfall will likely produce flash and urban flooding. Mudslides are also possible in areas of higher terrain across eastern Cuba. Storm total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with local maxima of 7 inches are expected into Wednesday morning across portions of the coastal Carolinas. This rainfall could result in flash, urban, and isolated, minor river flooding. Changes in the forecast track could result in further adjustments to these rainfall totals. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with this system, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero STORM SURGE: A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds in the northwestern Bahamas. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large waves. Minor coastal flooding is possible in areas of onshore winds over the Southeastern U.S. coastline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the surge occurs over the next several high tide cycles... Volusia/Brevard County Line, Florida to the South Santee River, South Carolina...1 to 2 ft SURF: Swells generated by this system and Hurricane Humberto will affect portions of the Bahamas this weekend, and spread to much of the east coast of the U.S. early this week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ripCurrents NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Papin
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Tropical Depression NINE Forecast Discussion
000 WTNT44 KNHC 281451 TCDAT4 Tropical Depression Nine Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092025 1100 AM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025 Structurally, the depression continues to gradually become better organized, with an attempt at more bursting convection closer to the estimated center. However, recent observations from the ongoing Air Force Reserve Reconnaissance aircraft mission have been rather underwhelming, which still shows a broad wind field and a peak 850-mb wind of only 37 kt. Based on this information, the system will remain a depression for this advisory with maximum sustained wind of 30 kt, which is a little under the satellite-based intensity estimates. The depression has not really accelerated much yet this morning, and it appears to be moving slowly northward at 350/6 kt. A general north-northwest to northward motion is expected to continue for the next 24-36 hours as southerly steering persists from both an upper trough over the southeastern United States and the subtropical ridge centered just east of Bermuda. After that period of time, the subtropical ridge's steering influence decreases as Hurricane Humberto's larger outer circulation creates a large weakness. Given the slow motion of the depression so far, it has also remained south of a track bifurcation point that was seen yesterday in the ensemble guidance. The tropical cyclone now appears more likely to turn sharply east-northeastward starting on Tuesday and continuing through the remainder of the forecast. The track guidance this cycle has made another south and eastward shift, and the NHC track forecast has been moved in that direction. In particular, the track guidance continues to show much more east-northeastward acceleration at the end of the forecast, requiring large speed changes in days 4 and 5, and this still might not be fast enough. The latest track forecast is very close to the HCCA consensus aid, but blends it with a little more of the Google DeepMind ensemble mean (GDMI) by the day 5 forecast. While the depression has not yet developed an inner core, one is expected to form in the next 12-24 hours. Some southerly vertical wind shear is expected to persist, though it never gets prohibitively strong, remaining under 20 kt for the next 48-72 h in the GFS-based SHIPS. Therefore, intensification is expected and the latest NHC intensity forecast is roughly in line with the intensity guidance consensus aids. In 3-4 days, the cyclone is expected to find itself in the right entrance region of an intensifying upper-level jet, and the enhanced upper-level divergence in that time may help support additional intensification even as the shear begins to increase towards the end of the forecast. After the system passes Bermuda, a strong baroclinic zone is expected to interact with the system, resulting in extratropical transition by day 5 as it gets tangled up with a frontal boundary. However, as stressed previously, this is a low confidence forecast at long range given the recent large track changes, especially since the southward shift in track keeps the cyclone over warmer sea-surface temperatures. KEY MESSAGES: 1. The depression is expected to strengthen and bring tropical storm conditions to portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas through Monday. Tropical storm conditions are also possible along portions of the east coast of central Florida beginning Monday. 2. Rainfall associated with the system will continue to impact eastern Cuba and the Bahamas through Tuesday, which will likely produce flash and urban flooding. Mudslides are possible in the higher terrain. Heavy rainfall across the coastal Carolinas could cause flash, urban, and river flooding into Wednesday morning. 3. The risk of significant wind impacts along the southeastern United States coast is decreasing, but interests in that area should continue to monitor the latest forecast updates. 4. Swells and high surf from both Humberto and Tropical Depression Nine are expected to produce dangerous marine conditions and rip currents along the east coast of Florida and the Georgia coast through Monday. These conditions are expected to spread northward along much of the east coast of the United States early this week. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/1500Z 23.5N 77.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 29/0000Z 24.5N 77.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 29/1200Z 26.2N 77.6W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 30/0000Z 27.7N 77.6W 60 KT 70 MPH 48H 30/1200Z 28.8N 77.1W 65 KT 75 MPH 60H 01/0000Z 29.3N 75.7W 70 KT 80 MPH 72H 01/1200Z 29.9N 73.5W 75 KT 85 MPH 96H 02/1200Z 31.0N 68.0W 80 KT 90 MPH 120H 03/1200Z 32.5N 61.5W 70 KT 80 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Papin
NINE storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 knots | 23.5, -77.3 | ||
| 40 knots | 24.5, -77.4 | ||
| 50 knots | 26.2, -77.6 | ||
| 60 knots | 27.7, -77.6 | ||
| 65 knots | 28.8, -77.1 | ||
| 70 knots | 29.3, -75.7 | ||
| 75 knots | 29.9, -73.5 | ||
| 80 knots | 31.0, -68.0 | ||
| 70 knots | 32.5, -61.5 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE |
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