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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 65 knots / 75 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 65 knots / 75 MPH at
Spaghetti models for BUALOI can be found here:
BUALOI spaghetti models page »
WTPN32 PGTW 250900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TYPHOON 22W (BUALOI) WARNING NR 026// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 22W (BUALOI) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z --- NEAR 33.7N 148.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 33.7N 148.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 37.0N 149.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z --- 40.7N 151.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 250900Z POSITION NEAR 34.5N 148.5E. 25OCT19. TYPHOON 22W (BUALOI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 421 NM EAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TY 22W IS RAPIDLY BECOMING ASYMMETRIC AND THAT THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION IS BEING SHEARED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE AND IS BASED ON A 250651Z 37GHZ SSMI IMAGE, WHICH SHOWS A MICROWAVE EYE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 65 KNOTS IS BASED ON DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY (CI) ESTIMATES OF T4.0 (65 KNOTS) FROM PGTW AND RJTD. TY 22W IS EXPERIENCING UNFAVORABLE (45 TO 50 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. POLEWARD OUTFLOW REMAINS STRONG AND THERE IS NO EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN FAVORABLE, NEAR 27 DEGREES CELSIUS. TY 22W IS TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WHICH IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. TY 22W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AROUND THE STR AND ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD AS A WEST TO EAST MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS TY 22W TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD IT WILL ENCOUNTER UNFAVORABLE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TY 22W IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL AND WILL COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY TAU 12. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK WHICH IS PLACED SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST OF THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 25 FEET.// NNNN
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
65 knots | 33.7, 148.0 | ||
55 knots | 37.0, 149.9 | ||
45 knots | 40.7, 151.0 |
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