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Per current tropical weather outlooks, the highest current potential of a new tropical cyclone in this basin is high.

Atlantic Active Storms

Tropical Storm JERRY

      ABNT20 KNHC 211734
      Tropical Weather Outlook
      NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
      200 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2019
      For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
      The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
      Storm Jerry, located a couple hundred miles north of Puerto Rico.
      A NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft has been investigating a tropical
      wave located several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands this
      afternoon. The aircraft found evidence of a sharp surface trough but
      confirmed that a well-defined circulation has not formed. Although
      the system is currently disorganized, at least gradual development
      is anticipated and a tropical depression could form later this
      weekend or early next week. The wave is forecast to move quickly
      westward for the next day or two, crossing the Windward Islands on
      Sunday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds
      are possible over much of the Lesser Antilles over the weekend, and
      interests on those islands and Puerto Rico should monitor the
      progress of this disturbance.
      * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
      * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
      A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa by
      Sunday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
      development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely
      to form early next week while the wave moves westward across the
      eastern tropical Atlantic.
      * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
      * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
      Forecaster Zelinsky

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