Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

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NAKRI Current Status

Current Wind Speed 45 knots / 52 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 45 knots / 52 MPH at

NAKRI Land Hazards

Northwest Pacific Weather Warnings
Taiwan Central Weather Bureau: typhoon news  
Hong Kong Observatory: no warnings
China Meteorological Administration: no warnings

NAKRI Tracker

NAKRI Satellite Loop

NAKRI Alternate Tracking Map

NAKRI Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for NAKRI can be found here:

NAKRI spaghetti models page »

NAKRI Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL STORM NAKRI Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL STORM NAKRI Public Advisory

WTPN32 PGTW 102100 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 021A CORRECTED//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 021A CORRECTED
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   101800Z --- NEAR 12.9N 109.2E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N 109.2E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   110600Z --- 13.2N 107.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   111800Z --- 13.7N 106.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   120600Z --- 14.3N 105.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
102100Z POSITION NEAR 13.0N 108.9E.
10NOV19. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 
193 NM NORTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED 
WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE SWATH OF CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). FURTHERMORE, A 101801Z AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM, GIVING GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION. INTENSITY IS SET AT 45 KNOTS BASED ON EXPECTED WEAKENING OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN A REGION WHERE MODERATE WESTWARD DIFFLUENCE IS CONSISTENTLY BEING OFFSET BY MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). TS 25W CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH. THROUGH TAU 12, TS 25W WILL TRACK GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED STR. TS 25W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS CONTINUED MODERATE VWS, LAND INTERACTION AND OFFSET UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PRECLUDE FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN ON THIS TRACK THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, DISSIPATING OVER LAND BY TAU 36. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN OVERALL GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE NEAR-TERM. AS THE SYSTEM PROGRESSES, THERE ARE VARIATIONS IN FORWARD STORM MOTION WHICH RESULT IN INCREASING ALONG-TRACK MODEL SPREAD AFTER TAU 12. THE CROSS-TRACK SPREAD INCREASES AFTER LANDFALL, PRODUCING A BIFURCATION IN MODEL SOLUTIONS. THE MAJORITY OF THE MODEL SOLUTIONS TRACK WESTWARD ACROSS VIETNAM WHILE A FEW MODELS (AFUM, ECMWF, AND GALWEM) PURSUE A MORE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AFTER LANDFALL. THE OFFICIAL JTWC FORECAST TRACK IS PLACED NEAR THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS, FOLLOWING THE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK SOLUTION WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED DISCUSSION IN REMARKS.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL STORM NAKRI Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

NAKRI storm path from JTWC

Time Speed Location Status
45 knots 12.9, 109.2 dissipating
30 knots 13.2, 107.9 dissipating
25 knots 13.7, 106.5 dissipating
20 knots 14.3, 105.2 dissipated


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