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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH at
Spaghetti models for MITAG can be found here:
WTPN31 PGTW 030900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 025// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z --- NEAR 38.0N 131.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 38.0N 131.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 38.5N 134.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 38.6N 138.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 39.2N 143.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 030900Z POSITION NEAR 38.1N 132.6E. 03OCT19. TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) REVEALS AN ELONGATED AND POORLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE NORTHEAST. THE SHEARED CONVECTION AND INITIAL FRONTAL FEATURES INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT). THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE DUE TO THE ELONGATED NATURE OF THE LLCC BASED ON THE MSI LOOP AND A 030615Z SSMI 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IN THE VICINITY OF THE SYSTEM. THE MID-LATITUDE JET IS ENHANCING POLEWARD OUTFLOW, CREATING A STRONG OUTFLOW CHANNEL. THE GOOD OUTFLOW IS BEING OFFSET BY STRONG (30-40 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (22-24 DEGREES CELSIUS). TS 19W IS TRACKING INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. TS 19W WILL CONTINUE ALONG AN EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE ETT AS IT MOVES DEEPER INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. ETT SHOULD COMPLETE AROUND TAU 12 AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE SEA OF JAPAN. TS 19W WILL MAKE LANDFALL OVER NORTHERN HONSHU AROUND TAU 12, TRACKING SOUTH OF MISAWA. THE 36 HOUR FORECAST FOLLOWS THE DETERIORATING CIRCULATION UNTIL IT PASSES OVER JAPAN INTO THE PACIFIC OCEAN. FOR THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST, THE INTENSITY WILL MAINTAIN AT 40 KNOTS. THERE IS OVERALL FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 17 FEET.// NNNN
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
40 knots | 38.0, 131.8 | ||
40 knots | 38.5, 134.8 | ||
40 knots | 38.6, 138.8 | ||
40 knots | 39.2, 143.7 |
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