Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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MITAG Current Status

Current Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH at 2019-10-03T06:00:00.000Z

MITAG Land Hazards

Northwest Pacific Weather Warnings

Taiwan Central Weather Bureau: no warnings
Hong Kong Observatory: no warnings
China Meteorological Administration: no warnings

MITAG Tracker

MITAG Satellite Loop

MITAG Alternate Tracking Map

MITAG Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for MITAG can be found here:

MITAG spaghetti models page »

MITAG Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL STORM MITAG Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL STORM MITAG Public Advisory

WTPN31 PGTW 030900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 025//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG) WARNING NR 025    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   030600Z --- NEAR 38.0N 131.8E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 38.0N 131.8E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   031800Z --- 38.5N 134.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 16 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   040600Z --- 38.6N 138.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 19 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   041800Z --- 39.2N 143.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
030900Z POSITION NEAR 38.1N 132.6E.
03OCT19. TROPICAL STORM 19W (MITAG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) REVEALS AN ELONGATED AND POORLY DEFINED LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE NORTHEAST.
THE SHEARED CONVECTION AND INITIAL FRONTAL FEATURES INDICATE THAT THE
SYSTEM IS UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT). THE INITIAL 
POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE DUE TO THE ELONGATED NATURE
OF THE LLCC BASED ON THE MSI LOOP AND A 030615Z SSMI 85 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS BASED ON SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS IN THE VICINITY OF THE SYSTEM. THE MID-LATITUDE JET IS
ENHANCING POLEWARD OUTFLOW, CREATING A STRONG OUTFLOW CHANNEL. THE
GOOD OUTFLOW IS BEING OFFSET BY STRONG (30-40 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
AND COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (22-24  DEGREES CELSIUS). TS 19W IS
TRACKING INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. TS
19W WILL CONTINUE ALONG AN EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK. THE SYSTEM 
WILL CONTINUE ETT AS IT MOVES DEEPER INTO THE MID-LATITUDE
WESTERLIES. ETT SHOULD COMPLETE AROUND TAU 12 AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS
ACROSS THE SEA OF JAPAN. TS 19W WILL MAKE LANDFALL OVER NORTHERN
HONSHU AROUND TAU 12, TRACKING SOUTH OF MISAWA. THE 36 HOUR FORECAST
FOLLOWS THE DETERIORATING CIRCULATION UNTIL IT PASSES OVER JAPAN INTO
THE PACIFIC OCEAN. FOR THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST, THE INTENSITY
WILL MAINTAIN AT 40 KNOTS. THERE IS OVERALL FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE
JTWC TRACK FORECAST. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE
JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 030600Z IS 17 FEET.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL STORM MITAG Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

MITAG storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2019-10-03T06:00:00.000Z	40 knots	38.0, 131.8
2019-10-03T18:00:00.000Z	40 knots	38.5, 134.8
2019-10-04T06:00:00.000Z	40 knots	38.6, 138.8
2019-10-04T18:00:00.000Z	40 knots	39.2, 143.7

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