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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 55 knots / MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 55 knots / MPH at
Spaghetti models for Gabrielle can be found here:
Gabrielle spaghetti models page »
IDQ20018 TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION Issued by AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE at: 1939 UTC 11/02/2023 Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle Identifier: 14U Data At: 1800 UTC Latitude: 29.7S Longitude: 169.7E Location Accuracy: within 20nm (35 km) Movement Towards: east southeast (107 deg) Speed of Movement: 14 knots (25 km/h) Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 55 knots (100 km/h) Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 75 knots (140 km/h) Central Pressure: 958 hPa Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 300 nm (555 km) Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 400 nm (740 km) Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 120 nm (220 km) Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 100 nm (185 km) Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: 130 nm (240 km) Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: 60 nm (110 km) Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: 60 nm (110 km) Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: 60 nm (110 km) Radius of 64-knot winds: nm ( km) Radius of Maximum Winds: nm ( km) Dvorak Intensity Code: Pressure of outermost isobar: 998 hPa Radius of outermost closed isobar: 360 nm (670 km) FORECAST DATA Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure (UTC) : degrees : nm (km): knots(km/h): hPa +06: 12/0000: 30.8S 171.7E: 025 (050): 050 (095): 962 +12: 12/0600: 31.7S 173.1E: 035 (065): 045 (085): 964 +18: 12/1200: : : : +24: 12/1800: : : : +36: 13/0600: : : : +48: 13/1800: : : : +60: 14/0600: : : : +72: 14/1800: : : : +96: 15/1800: : : : +120: 16/1800: : : : REMARKS: Gabrielle has been reclassified as a sub-tropical system based on satellite signature, wind structure, and modelled position in the cyclone phase space as a shallow asymmetric warm cored system. Hence conventional Dvorak is no longer applicable to the intensity nor standard objective TC aids. Gabrielle passed within 30km of Norfolk Island which reported a minimum pressure of 958.1hPa at 11UTC Saturday. Fortunately Norfolk Is evaded the highest winds, the airport recording only near-gales and maximum wind gust 102 km/h (55 knots) at 0336UTC on Saturday. The current wind intensity (55kn) and wind structure are based primarily on model guidance which is quite consistent and agrees with recent ASCAT-B at 1030UTC having partial coverage of western sectors. The synoptic environment is unfavourable to sustain a true tropical cyclone as strong wind shear persists and the system is now over SSTs below 25C, and moving into even cooler SST. Gradual weakening is forecast although baroclinic processes provided by the upper trough to the west is sustaining the system. Observed winds at Norfolk Island have eased as the system moves away, mirroring model guidance trends of rapid weakening in the western quadrants overnight. Gales are no longer expected to affect the island. Gabrielle will remain a robust circulation into Monday and Tuesday as it moves closer to New Zealand. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia == There will be no further bulletins for this system.
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
55 knots | -29.7, 169.7 |
site by Hayley Croft
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