Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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* stats delayed and were probably not accurate to begin with

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LORENZO Current Status

...LORENZO CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... ...EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER THIS WEEK...

Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at

Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite

current US watches/warnings

map of current weather alerts in the United States

current radar loop

NWS weather radar loop of the coastal areas

If you're looking for other US radar loops, check out Radar Monster.

future radar imagery

future radar image of the Atlantic Ocean basin showing future possible storms and future locations of current storms

(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)

If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.

LORENZO Land Hazards

NWS Local Hurricane Statements

LORENZO Tracker

LORENZO Satellite Loop

visible satellite loop of Tropical Storm LORENZO from wisc.edu

LORENZO Alternate Tracking Map

LORENZO Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for LORENZO can be found here:

LORENZO spaghetti models page »

LORENZO Watches and Warnings

National Hurricane Center image showing current coastal watches and warnings and future LORENZO predicted path

Tropical Storm LORENZO Tropical Cyclone Update

Tropical Storm LORENZO Public Advisory

000
WTNT32 KNHC 142034
TCPAT2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Lorenzo Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122025
500 PM AST Tue Oct 14 2025
 
...LORENZO CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...
...EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER THIS WEEK...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 45.5W
ABOUT 1430 MI...2300 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lorenzo was 
located near latitude 18.7 North, longitude 45.5 West. Lorenzo is 
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn to 
the north is expected tonight, followed by a northeastward motion 
on Wednesday and Thursday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is expected, and Lorenzo is 
forecast to dissipate within a few days.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Tropical Storm LORENZO Forecast Discussion

000
WTNT42 KNHC 142034
TCDAT2
 
Tropical Storm Lorenzo Discussion Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122025
500 PM AST Tue Oct 14 2025
 
Lorenzo is really struggling over the tropical Atlantic.  The
system is now only producing a few clusters of deep convection as
dry air continues to entrain into the circulation.  Based on the
degraded satellite appearance and intensity estimates, the initial
wind speed is lowered to 35 kt.
 
Lorenzo is moving northwestward at 12 kt on the southwest side of a
subtropical ridge over the eastern Atlantic.  A turn to the north
is expected by tonight, followed by a faster northeastward motion on
Wednesday as a mid- to upper-level trough approaches from the west. 
The faster northeastward motion will likely continue until the 
system dissipates in a few days.

Dry air and moderate to strong shear should continue to affect 
Lorenzo during the next several days.  These conditions should 
cause the system to continue to degrade, and Lorenzo is now forecast 
to dissipate by day 3.  In fact, most of the models show Lorenzo 
opening into a trough even sooner than that.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  14/2100Z 18.7N  45.5W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  15/0600Z 20.5N  45.4W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  15/1800Z 23.0N  43.9W   35 KT  40 MPH
 36H  16/0600Z 25.6N  41.2W   35 KT  40 MPH
 48H  16/1800Z 28.3N  37.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
 60H  17/0600Z 29.8N  33.7W   30 KT  35 MPH
 72H  17/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

LORENZO storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
35 knots 18.7, -45.5
35 knots 20.5, -45.4
35 knots 23.0, -43.9
35 knots 25.6, -41.2
30 knots 28.3, -37.5
30 knots 29.8, -33.7
0 knots DISSIPATED


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