Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
LAURA Current Status
...LAURA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION OVER ARKANSAS... ...FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES...
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 45 knots / 50 MPH at
Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite
current US watches/warnings
live tornado/thunderstorm tracker - tornadohq
future radar imagery - my future radar
current radar loop
future radar imagery
(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)
If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.
LAURA Land Hazards
NWS Local Hurricane Statements
- No warnings
- RAINFALL - Through Friday, Laura is expected to produce the following additional rainfall totals:
- TORNADOES - A few tornadoes remain possible this evening across eastern Arkansas, western Tennessee, northern Mississippi, and the Missouri Bootheel. The risk for a few tornadoes is expected to redevelop Friday afternoon into the evening across parts of the Mid-South and Tennessee Valley regions.
- SURF - Swells produced by Laura continue to affect the U.S. Gulf coast from the Florida Panhandle to Texas. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
LAURA Tracker
LAURA Satellite Loop
LAURA Alternate Tracking Map
LAURA Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for LAURA can be found here:
LAURA Watches and Warnings
Tropical Depression LAURA Tropical Cyclone Update
Tropical Depression LAURA Public Advisory
000 WTNT33 KNHC 280234 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Laura Advisory Number 33 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020 1000 PM CDT Thu Aug 27 2020 ...LAURA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION OVER ARKANSAS... ...FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.1N 92.0W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NNE OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Laura was located near latitude 35.1 North, longitude 92.0 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general motion should continue overnight. A northeastward to east-northeastward motion is expected to begin on Friday and continue into Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Laura is forecast to move over Arkansas tonight, the mid-Mississippi Valley on Friday, the mid-Atlantic states on Saturday, and over the western Atlantic on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Laura is expected to become a remnant low pressure system on Saturday, and an extratropical low later this weekend. The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Laura can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC. RAINFALL: Through Friday, Laura is expected to produce the following additional rainfall totals: Over central and northern Arkansas: Additional 3 to 6 inches. Over southern Louisiana and southern Mississippi: 1 to 3 inches, with isolated additional totals of 5 inches. Over northern Mississippi, western Tennessee, and south-central to southeast Missouri: 1 to 3 inches, with isolated totals of 5 inches. This rainfall will continue to cause widespread flash and urban flooding, small streams and creeks to overflow their banks, and minor to moderate freshwater river flooding. Through Saturday, Laura is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches across portions of the Tennessee and Lower Ohio Valleys, the central and southern Appalachians, and the Mid-Atlantic States. This rainfall may lead to flash and urban flooding and rapid rises on small streams. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes remain possible this evening across eastern Arkansas, western Tennessee, northern Mississippi, and the Missouri Bootheel. The risk for a few tornadoes is expected to redevelop Friday afternoon into the evening across parts of the Mid-South and Tennessee Valley regions. SURF: Swells produced by Laura continue to affect the U.S. Gulf coast from the Florida Panhandle to Texas. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 4 AM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT3, WMO header WTNT33 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Tropical Depression LAURA Forecast Discussion
000 WTNT43 KNHC 280234 TCDAT3 Tropical Depression Laura Discussion Number 33 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020 1000 PM CDT Thu Aug 27 2020 Laura has continued to spin down after being over land for nearly a day. Surface observations no longer support tropical storm intensity, and therefore the system is being downgraded to a tropical depression. The cyclone should become a post-tropical low within a couple of days, and then transform into an extratropical cyclone while moving off the U.S. east coast. The official forecast shows some restrengthening in 2-4 days due to baroclinic processes. However, by the end of the forecast period, the system should be absorbed by a larger extratropical cyclone to the east of the Canadian Maritimes. Laura continues to move north-northeastward or at about 015/13 kt. A turn toward the northeast and east-northeast with increasing forward speed is likely while the cyclone becomes embedded in the stronger westerly flow. The official track forecast follows the latest dynamical model consensus. There is a continued threat of flooding from Laura for the next couple of days. This is the last NHC advisory on Laura. Future information on this system, including the rainfall threat, can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 4 AM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT3, WMO header WTNT33 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov Key Messages: 1. Additional rainfall will continue to lead to flash flooding along small streams, urban areas, roadways, and minor to moderate river flooding across portions of Louisiana, Mississippi and Arkansas. The heavy rainfall threat and flash and urban flooding potential will spread northeastward into the middle-Mississippi, lower Ohio and Tennessee Valleys, and Mid-Atlantic States Friday and Saturday. 2. A few tornadoes remain possible this evening across eastern Arkansas, western Tennessee, northern Mississippi, and the Missouri Bootheel. The risk for a few tornadoes is expected to redevelop Friday afternoon into the evening across parts of the Mid-South and Tennessee Valley regions. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/0300Z 35.1N 92.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 12H 28/1200Z 36.3N 91.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 24H 29/0000Z 37.3N 87.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 36H 29/1200Z 38.0N 82.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 48H 30/0000Z 38.5N 75.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 30/1200Z 41.5N 67.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 31/0000Z 44.0N 60.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 01/0000Z 48.0N 52.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
LAURA storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 knots | 35.1, -92.0 | translation missing: en.INLAND | |
| 30 knots | 36.3, -91.0 | translation missing: en.INLAND | |
| 25 knots | 37.3, -87.8 | translation missing: en.INLAND | |
| 25 knots | 38.0, -82.3 | translation missing: en.POST-TROP/INLAND | |
| 25 knots | 38.5, -75.5 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 35 knots | 41.5, -67.5 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 45 knots | 44.0, -60.5 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 40 knots | 48.0, -52.0 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 0 knots | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
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