( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at
Spaghetti models for KIKO can be found here:
000 WTPA34 PHFO 250234 TCPCP4 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Kiko Advisory Number 51 NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP132019 500 PM HST Tue Sep 24 2019 ...KIKO WEAKENS TO A REMNANT LOW... SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.2N 140.5W ABOUT 950 MI...1530 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Kiko was located near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 140.5 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A gradual turn to the west and then southwest is expected tonight through Thursday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The remnant low is expected to slowly weaken over the next couple of days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center on Kiko. Additional information on the post-tropical low can be found in high seas forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS head HFOHSFNP, WMO header FZPN40 PHFO, and on the web at https://www.weather.gov/hfo/HSFNP $$ Forecaster Kodama
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
ZCZC HFOTCDCP4 ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Post-Tropical Cyclone Kiko Discussion Number 51 NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP132019 500 PM HST Tue Sep 24 2019 The low level center of Kiko has been fully exposed all day without any nearby deep convection. Southwesterly vertical shear of 40 to 50 kt, as indicated by UW-CIMSS analysis, along with marginal sea surface temperatures will do that to a tropical cyclone. Today's ASCAT-A/B/C scatterometer passes all showed winds less than 35 kt so Kiko was downgraded to a tropical depression in the Tropical Cyclone Update issued earlier this afternoon. The Dvorak intensity estimates came in at 35 kt from PHFO (held up by constraints), and 30 kt from SAB. The UW/CIMSS ADT value was 25 kt at 25/0000 UTC. Based on a blend of these data, and the expectation that vertical shear will remain strong over the system, Kiko will be designated a post-tropical remnant low with an intensity of 30 kt. The center of Kiko has been moving at 325/13 kt within the shallow layer steering flow. This is a bit to the right of the previous advisory with a faster speed. The movement of the remnant low is expected to gradually become westward, then southwestward, as it spins down and moves within the trade wind flow. The main dynamical objective aids are in agreement with this scenario. The forecast track has been adjusted north due to the initial motion and is close to the HCCA guidance. Dissipation of what's left of Kiko should occur in the next 3 days. This is the last advisory issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center on Kiko. Additional information on this system can be found in the High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service in Honolulu under AWIPS header HFOHSFNP and WMO header FZPN40 PHFO. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/0300Z 19.2N 140.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 25/1200Z 19.5N 141.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 26/0000Z 19.6N 142.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 26/1200Z 19.1N 144.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 27/0000Z 18.5N 145.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Kodama NNNN
|30 knots||19.2, -140.5||POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE|
|25 knots||19.5, -141.4||POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE|
|25 knots||19.6, -142.7||POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE|
|20 knots||19.1, -144.0||POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE|
|20 knots||18.5, -145.2||POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE|
|0 knots||translation missing: en.DISSIPATED|
site by Hayley Croft