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KIKO Current Status

Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at 2019-09-25T03:00:00.000Z

KIKO Land Hazards

KIKO Tracker

KIKO Satellite Loop

KIKO Alternate Tracking Map

KIKO Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for KIKO can be found here:

KIKO spaghetti models page »

KIKO Watches and Warnings

Post-Tropical Cyclone KIKO Tropical Cyclone Update

Post-Tropical Cyclone KIKO Public Advisory

000
WTPA34 PHFO 250234
TCPCP4
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Kiko Advisory Number  51
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP132019
500 PM HST Tue Sep 24 2019
 
...KIKO WEAKENS TO A REMNANT LOW...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.2N 140.5W
ABOUT 950 MI...1530 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Kiko
was located near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 140.5 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24
km/h). A gradual turn to the west and then southwest is expected
tonight through Thursday night.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
The remnant low is expected to slowly weaken over the next
couple of days. 
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the Central Pacific
Hurricane Center on Kiko. Additional information on the
post-tropical low can be found in high seas forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service under AWIPS head HFOHSFNP, WMO header
FZPN40 PHFO, and on the web at https://www.weather.gov/hfo/HSFNP
 
$$
Forecaster Kodama

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Post-Tropical Cyclone KIKO Forecast Discussion

ZCZC HFOTCDCP4 ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM

Post-Tropical Cyclone Kiko Discussion Number  51
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP132019
500 PM HST Tue Sep 24 2019

The low level center of Kiko has been fully exposed all day
without any nearby deep convection. Southwesterly vertical shear of
40 to 50 kt, as indicated by UW-CIMSS analysis, along with marginal
sea surface temperatures will do that to a tropical cyclone. Today's
ASCAT-A/B/C scatterometer passes all showed winds less than 35 kt so
Kiko was downgraded to a tropical depression in the Tropical Cyclone
Update issued earlier this afternoon. The Dvorak intensity estimates
came in at 35 kt from PHFO (held up by constraints), and 30 kt from
SAB. The UW/CIMSS ADT value was 25 kt at 25/0000 UTC. Based on a
blend of these data, and the expectation that vertical shear will
remain strong over the system, Kiko will be designated a
post-tropical remnant low with an intensity of 30 kt.

The center of Kiko has been moving at 325/13 kt within the shallow
layer steering flow. This is a bit to the right of the previous
advisory with a faster speed. The movement of the remnant
low is expected to gradually become westward, then southwestward, as
it spins down and moves within the trade wind flow. The main
dynamical objective aids are in agreement with this scenario. The
forecast track has been adjusted north due to the initial motion and
is close to the HCCA guidance. Dissipation of what's left of Kiko
should occur in the next 3 days.

This is the last advisory issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center on Kiko. Additional information on this system can be found
in the High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service in
Honolulu under AWIPS header HFOHSFNP and WMO header FZPN40 PHFO.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  25/0300Z 19.2N 140.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  25/1200Z 19.5N 141.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  26/0000Z 19.6N 142.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  26/1200Z 19.1N 144.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  27/0000Z 18.5N 145.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  28/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Kodama

NNNN

KIKO storm path from NHC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2019-09-25T03:00:00.000Z	30 knots	19.2, -140.5	POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
2019-09-25T12:00:00.000Z	25 knots	19.5, -141.4	POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
2019-09-26T00:00:00.000Z	25 knots	19.6, -142.7	POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
2019-09-26T12:00:00.000Z	20 knots	19.1, -144.0	POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
2019-09-27T00:00:00.000Z	20 knots	18.5, -145.2	POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
2019-09-28T00:00:00.000Z	0 knots		translation missing: en.DISSIPATED

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