Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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KIKO Current Status
...KIKO STRUGGLING TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...
Current Wind Speed 45 knots / 50 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 50 knots / 60 MPH at
KIKO Land Hazards
KIKO Tracker
KIKO Satellite Loop
KIKO Alternate Tracking Map
KIKO Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for KIKO can be found here:
KIKO Watches and Warnings
Tropical Storm KIKO Tropical Cyclone Update
Tropical Storm KIKO Public Advisory
000 WTPZ33 KNHC 220238 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kiko Advisory Number 39 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132019 500 PM HST Sat Sep 21 2019 ...KIKO STRUGGLING TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.5N 132.5W ABOUT 1510 MI...2430 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 240 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kiko was located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 132.5 West. Kiko is moving toward the west-southwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A motion toward the southwest or west-southwest is forecast to occur through Sunday night, followed by a westward to northwestward motion Monday and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are expected during the next several days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST. $$ Forecaster Berg
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Tropical Storm KIKO Forecast Discussion
000 WTPZ43 KNHC 220241 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Kiko Discussion Number 39 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132019 500 PM HST Sat Sep 21 2019 Kiko is only producing a relatively small patch of deep convection to the northeast of its center, the result of continued southwesterly shear and the cyclone moving through what appears to be a stable environment. The initial intensity is held at 45 kt based on the earlier ASCAT data, but it's possible the maximum winds have decreased since then. Given Kiko's structure and its environment, some weakening is expected during the next day or so. However, the cyclone is moving southwestward, toward slightly warmer waters, and this could allow for some restrengthening in 36-48 hours, which is shown by many of the intensity models. Another round of shear and cooler waters should lead to weakening after 48 hours, and Kiko is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by day 5, if not sooner. Kiko is moving a little faster toward the west-southwest, or 240/7 kt. An elongated mid- to upper-level trough extending from California to near the Hawaiian Islands is digging southward, which is forcing the subtropical ridge--and Kiko--to lose latitude during the next 36 hours. After that time, the western portion of the trough is forecast to cut off east of the Hawaiian Islands, causing Kiko to turn sharply northwestward on days 2-4. Once a remnant low, Kiko is then expected to be steered by lower-level flow, causing it to turn back to the southwest. Only small adjustments to the NHC track forecast were made on this cycle, and it still depicts a wave-like trajectory through day 5, as has been the case for several days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/0300Z 17.5N 132.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 22/1200Z 16.8N 133.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 23/0000Z 16.0N 134.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 23/1200Z 15.8N 135.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 24/0000Z 16.5N 136.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 72H 25/0000Z 18.8N 138.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 96H 26/0000Z 19.2N 139.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 120H 27/0000Z 18.1N 140.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Berg
KIKO storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 knots | 17.5, -132.5 | ||
| 40 knots | 16.8, -133.3 | ||
| 40 knots | 16.0, -134.5 | ||
| 45 knots | 15.8, -135.7 | ||
| 50 knots | 16.5, -136.8 | ||
| 40 knots | 18.8, -138.5 | ||
| 30 knots | 19.2, -139.8 | ||
| 25 knots | 18.1, -140.5 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE |
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