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KIKO Current Status

... KIKO STILL A TROPICAL STORM AND IS PRODUCING LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS AND HIGH SURF ACROSS PORTIONS OF HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...

Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at

KIKO Land Hazards

KIKO Tracker

KIKO Satellite Loop

visible satellite loop of Tropical Storm KIKO from wisc.edu

visible satellite loop of Tropical Storm KIKO from wisc.edu

KIKO Alternate Tracking Map

KIKO Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for KIKO can be found here:

KIKO spaghetti models page »

KIKO Watches and Warnings

Tropical Storm KIKO Tropical Cyclone Update

Tropical Storm KIKO Public Advisory

348 
WTPA34 PHFO 100233
TCPCP4
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Kiko Advisory Number  40
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP112025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Tue Sep 09 2025
 
... KIKO STILL A TROPICAL STORM AND IS PRODUCING LIFE-THREATENING
RIP CURRENTS AND HIGH SURF ACROSS PORTIONS OF HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.9N 156.3W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM NE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of
Kiko.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kiko was
located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 156.3 West. Kiko is
moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h)  and this
motion is expected to continue for the next few days, while passing
north of the main Hawaiian Islands.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Weakening is expected, and the system is forecast to become 
post-tropical in a couple days.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
to the north of the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Kiko can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP4 and WMO header WTPA44 PHFO.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Kiko are building from east to west across
the exposed Hawaiian waters and are forecast to peak tonight
through Wednesday, potentially producing life-threatening surf and
rip currents. Refer to the latest updates and forecasts issued from
the National Weather Service in Honolulu, Hawaii.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Tropical Storm KIKO Forecast Discussion

442 
WTPA44 PHFO 100234
TCDCP4
 
Tropical Storm Kiko Discussion Number  40
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP112025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Tue Sep 09 2025
 
A new convective burst has developed in association with Kiko, with 
the strongest convection currently just north of the low-level 
center. Scatterometer data received since the last advisory 
indicated at least 35 kt winds in the northern semicircle, and 
based on this and the current convective trends the initial 
intensity is held at 35 kt.

While the center of Kiko turned a little to the left during the past 
several hours, the longer-term motion remains west-northwestward at 
285/12 kt.  Kiko is expected to continue a general 
west-northwestward track with a gradual decrease in forward speed 
during the next three days as it is steered by low-level easterly 
flow on the south side of the subtropical ridge.  The new forecast 
track is adjusted a little to the left of the previous track based 
on the initial position, and it lies near or just north of the 
various consensus models.
 
The cyclone is forecast to remain within a high shear environment 
over the next 12-18 h, and it is expected that Kiko will weaken to a 
depression during that time.  After that, while the shear weakens 
for a time, the upper-level flow becomes convergent and the airmass 
around the cyclone is quite dry.  This combination should eventually 
stop the associated convection, and Kiko is expected to degenerate 
to a remnant low by 48 h. The system is expected to dissipate  
completely between 72-96 h.
 
 
Key Messages:
 
1. Kiko is forecast to pass north of the Hawaiian Islands tonight
and Wednesday. Additional weakening is expected, and the threat of
direct impacts on the islands continues to diminish, though
interests should still monitor Kiko's progress and the latest
forecasts.
 
2. Swells generated by Kiko are gradually building from east to west
across the exposed Hawaiian waters and are forecast to peak
tonight through Wednesday, potentially producing life-threatening
surf and rip currents. Refer to the latest updates and forecasts
issued from the National Weather Service in Honolulu, Hawaii.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  10/0300Z 22.9N 156.3W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  10/1200Z 23.4N 158.2W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  11/0000Z 24.1N 160.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
 36H  11/1200Z 24.8N 162.6W   30 KT  35 MPH
 48H  12/0000Z 25.6N 164.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  12/1200Z 26.2N 166.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  13/0000Z 26.7N 168.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  14/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Beven

KIKO storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
35 knots 22.9, -156.3
35 knots 23.4, -158.2
30 knots 24.1, -160.5
30 knots 24.8, -162.6
25 knots 25.6, -164.6 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
25 knots 26.2, -166.5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
20 knots 26.7, -168.3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
0 knots DISSIPATED


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