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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 25 knots / 29 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 25 knots / 29 MPH at
Spaghetti models for KAMMURI can be found here:
KAMMURI spaghetti models page »
WTPN31 PGTW 052100 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W (KAMMURI) WARNING NR 041// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W (KAMMURI) WARNING NR 041 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z --- NEAR 12.2N 113.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N 113.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 9.8N 112.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 6.9N 111.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 052100Z POSITION NEAR 11.6N 113.3E. 05DEC19. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 29W (KAMMURI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 379 NM SOUTHEAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF AN EXTENSIVE STRATOCUMULUS FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THE COOL, DRY NORTHEAST SURGE EVENT. PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE, THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED FULLY-EXPOSED LLCC IN EIR. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 25 KTS SUPPORTED BY A 051312Z METOP-C PARTIAL ASCAT PASS SHOWING 20-25 KT WINDS WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC FROM THE EAST. THE ASCAT PASS ALSO DEPICTS A LARGE SWATH OF WINDS GREATER THAN 35 KTS TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THESE WINDS ARE NOT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM, BUT ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHEAST SURGE EVENT. TD 29W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD WITHIN THE FLOW OF THE NORTHEAST SURGE EVENT. DRIVEN BY THE NORTHEAST SURGE FLOW, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AS IT DISSIPATES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE COOL, DRY AIR OF THE SURGE EVENT WILL BECOME ENTRAINED INTO THE SYSTEM CAUSING IT TO QUICKLY WEAKEN IN CONJUNCTION WITH COOLING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. WINDS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WILL REMAIN GREATER THAN 35 KTS AS TD 29W DISSIPATES. HOWEVER, THOSE WINDS SOLELY ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHEAST SURGE EVENT. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NAVGEM WHICH TURNS TO A MORE SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK AFTER TAU 12. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK AS IT IS PLACED NEAR THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 15 FEET.// NNNN
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
25 knots | 12.2, 113.5 | dissipating | |
20 knots | 9.8, 112.8 | dissipating | |
20 knots | 6.9, 111.7 | dissipated |
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