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Other future tropical cyclones:
Per current tropical weather outlooks, the highest current potential of a new tropical cyclone in this basin is low.
No active storms
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 9.3N 63.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 61.6E, APPROXIMATELY 467
NM SOUTHEAST OF SOCOTRA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
AND A 081243Z SSMIS F-18 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICT DEEP CONVECTION WITH
POCKETS OF FLARING CONVECTION OFFSET TO THE NORTHEAST OVER AN
OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE
SYSTEM HAS DRIFTED INTO AN AREA OF MODERATE (10-20 KNOT) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR WITH MARGINAL EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AT 28-29 DEGREES
CELSIUS. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 92B WILL DRIFT
NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE TO NO INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW. SEE REF B (WTIO21 PGTW 081830) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. site by Hayley Croft
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