Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
HOWARD Current Status
...HOWARD NOW POST-TROPICAL... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
Current Wind Speed 40 knots / 45 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 40 knots / 45 MPH at
HOWARD Land Hazards
HOWARD Tracker
HOWARD Satellite Loop
HOWARD Alternate Tracking Map
HOWARD Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for HOWARD can be found here:
HOWARD spaghetti models page »
HOWARD Watches and Warnings
Post-Tropical Cyclone HOWARD Tropical Cyclone Update
Post-Tropical Cyclone HOWARD Public Advisory
824 WTPZ34 KNHC 110234 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Howard Advisory Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092022 800 PM PDT Wed Aug 10 2022 ...HOWARD NOW POST-TROPICAL... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.1N 122.3W ABOUT 790 MI...1270 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Howard was located near latitude 24.1 North, longitude 122.3 West. Howard is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the west with some decrease in forward speed is expected on Thursday, with that motion continuing through late Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected, and the post-tropical low is forecast to dissipate by Friday night or Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the post-tropical low, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Berg
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Post-Tropical Cyclone HOWARD Forecast Discussion
000 WTPZ44 KNHC 110235 TCDEP4 Post-Tropical Cyclone Howard Discussion Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092022 800 PM PDT Wed Aug 10 2022 The last bit of deep convection near Howard's center faded around the time of this morning's advisory, about 12 hours ago. Since the center is now moving over waters colder than 22 degrees Celsius, it's very unlikely that significant deep convection will reignite, and Howard has therefore degenerated into a post-tropical low. The low is still likely producing gale-force winds, which are estimated to be as high as 40 kt based on a gradual spin down of the circulation and the latest satellite estimates. Gales could continue for another 6-12 hours as the system weakens over cold water, and global models are in general agreement that the remnant low will dissipate in 2-3 days. The initial motion remains west-northwestward, or 285/10 kt. Howard's remnant circulation is expected to turn westward and slow down a bit during the next 24 hours, continuing that motion until dissipation. The previous forecast lies along the northern edge of the 00z track guidance envelope, and because of that, the new (and final) NHC forecast has been pushed southward, close to the GFS and TVCE consensus solutions. For additional information on the post-tropical low, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN02 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/0300Z 24.1N 122.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 11/1200Z 24.4N 123.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 12/0000Z 24.6N 125.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 12/1200Z 24.6N 126.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 13/0000Z 24.4N 128.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg
HOWARD storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 knots | 24.1, -122.3 | translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL | |
| 30 knots | 24.4, -123.6 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 25 knots | 24.6, -125.1 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 25 knots | 24.6, -126.6 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 20 knots | 24.4, -128.1 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 0 knots | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
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