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Current View of the Eastern Pacific Basin

Tropical Outlook

Per current tropical weather outlooks, the highest current potential of a new tropical cyclone in this basin is medium.

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      ABPZ20 KNHC 220500
      Tropical Weather Outlook
      NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
      1100 PM PDT Sat Jul 21 2018
      For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
      Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
      an area of low pressure located about 1250 miles east-southeast of
      the Big Island of Hawaii.  Development of this system is not
      expected due to strong upper-level winds.  The low is forecast to
      move westward at 10 to 15 mph and cross into the Central Pacific
      basin by Sunday night.
      * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
      * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
      A large area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles
      south of the southwestern coast of Mexico.  Although this system
      remains disorganized, environmental conditions are expected to
      become somewhat conducive for development, and a tropical depression
      could form by the middle part of next week. This disturbance is
      expected to move toward the west or west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph
      during the next several days.
      * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
      * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
      An area of low pressure is forecast to form in a few days several
      hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico.  Environmental
      conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development while the
      system moves toward the west or west-northwest well south of Mexico.
      * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
      * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
      Forecaster Blake

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