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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 55 knots / 65 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 60 knots / 70 MPH at
live tornado/thunderstorm tracker - tornadohq
future radar imagery - my future radar
(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)
If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.
Spaghetti models for GABRIELLE can be found here:
GABRIELLE spaghetti models page »
772 WTNT32 KNHC 261439 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle Advisory Number 39 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072025 300 PM GMT Fri Sep 26 2025 ...CENTER OF GABRIELLE CONTINUES MOVING AWAY FROM THE AZORES... ...THIS IS THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.0N 22.8W ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM ENE OF LAJES AIR BASE IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 31 MPH...50 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle was located near latitude 40.0 North, longitude 22.8 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 31 mph (50 km/h). A turn toward the east with a decrease in forward speed is expected through Saturday, followed by a turn toward the southeast and south through early next week. On the forecast track, the center of post-tropical Gabrielle will continue moving away from the Azores today, then approach the coast of Portugal by early Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast through tonight, with weakening expected over the weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Gabrielle can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. WIND: Gusty winds across the central and southeastern Azores will continue to diminish this afternoon. RAINFALL: Gabrielle is expected to produce less than an inch, or 25 mm, of additional rainfall across the Azores today. Any flooding caused by Gabrielle across the terrain of the central Azores should subside today. SURF: Swells generated by Gabrielle will affect the Azores through the weekend and will reach the coasts of Portugal, northwestern Spain, and northern Morocco on Saturday. These swells are expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products issued by your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Future information on marine impacts can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/fq/fqnt50.lfpw..txt. Future information on potential land-based impacts in Portugal can be found in products issued by the Portugal Meteorological Institute at https://www.ipma.pt/en/index.html $$ Forecaster Hagen
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
000 WTNT42 KNHC 261442 TCDAT2 Post-Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle Discussion Number 39 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072025 300 PM GMT Fri Sep 26 2025 Gabrielle is a storm-force extratropical cyclone with frontal boundaries that extend east-northeastward and southwestward from the cyclone. The center continues moving away from the Azores, and winds have dropped below gale-force across the islands. Recent ASCAT passes missed the center, but winds up to 43 kt were measured by the instrument well away from the center in the southeast quadrant. Global models show 10-meter winds up to 55 kt in their fields at the current time, so the initial intensity will be held at 55 kt. Some intensification is possible this evening, and the 06Z GFS model indicates a sting jet could briefly cause winds up to 70-75 kt in the western semicircle in about 6 h from now. The NHC forecast brings Gabrielle to 60 kt in 12 h, but doesn't necessarily account for brief stronger winds that could occur between the current time and the 12 h point. Global models are in good agreement on steady weakening after hour 12, and the NHC intensity forecast is based on a blend of the GFS and ECMWF. It's possible that gale force winds near 35 kt, with higher gusts, could affect portions of the west coast of Portugal around early Sunday. The current motion is quickly east-northeastward, or 065/27 kt. A turn toward the east along with a decrease in forward speed is expected in 12-24 h. After that, the cyclone is expected to turn southeastward as it approaches the coast of Portugal. This should be followed by an even slower southeastward to southward motion while Gabrielle decays and eventually dissipates near southern Portugal and northern Morocco. The forecast track has been shifted slightly to the northeast, or left, of the previous NHC track, closer to the latest simple and corrected consensus models. This is the final advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Gabrielle. Future information on marine impacts can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/fq/fqnt50.lfpw..txt. Future information on potential land-based impacts in Portugal can be found in products issued by the Portugal Meteorological Institute at https://www.ipma.pt/en/index.html KEY MESSAGES: 1. Winds across the Azores will continue to subside this afternoon. 2. Any flooding caused by Gabrielle across the high terrain of the central Azores should subside this afternoon. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/1500Z 40.0N 22.8W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 27/0000Z 40.8N 18.6W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 27/1200Z 41.0N 13.8W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 28/0000Z 40.1N 10.4W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 28/1200Z 38.5N 8.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 29/0000Z 36.9N 7.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 29/1200Z 35.6N 7.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Hagen
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
55 knots | 40.0, -22.8 | POST-TROPICAL | |
60 knots | 40.8, -18.6 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
50 knots | 41.0, -13.8 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
45 knots | 40.1, -10.4 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
35 knots | 38.5, -8.3 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
30 knots | 36.9, -7.2 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
25 knots | 35.6, -7.1 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
0 knots | DISSIPATED |
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