( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
English Español Deutsch Français 日本語
This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at
Spaghetti models for FIFTEEN-E can be found here:
FIFTEEN-E spaghetti models page »
000 WTPZ35 KNHC 212041 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fifteen-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152022 400 PM CDT Wed Sep 21 2022 ...YET ANOTHER TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC... ...EXPECTED TO MOVE AWAY FROM MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.1N 105.3W ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fifteen-E was located near latitude 17.1 North, longitude 105.3 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn to the west-northwest is expected this evening or tonight, and a slower west-northwestward motion should then continue over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible in the next couple of days, and the depression could become a tropical storm tonight or Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Bucci/Jelsema
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
000 WTPZ45 KNHC 212042 TCDEP5 Tropical Depression Fifteen-E Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152022 400 PM CDT Wed Sep 21 2022 A new tropical depression has formed in the east Pacific basin. The satellite presentation of now Tropical Depression Fifteen-E has improved over the past 24 hours. Visible imagery shows decent upper-level outflow in the western semicircle and cold cloud tops as low as -70 degrees C. Due to the increase in convective organization, the initial intensity is set to 30 kt, slightly higher than the subjective Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB. The depression is moving just north of west at 275/9 kt. It is moving along the southwest periphery of a mid-level ridge centered over Texas. This ridge is expected to steer the system to the west-northwest for the next couple of days at a gradually slower forward speed. The model guidance is relatively tightly clustered and the NHC track forecast is close to the multi-model consensus aids. The environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for slight development over the next couple days. Oceanic surface temperatures, atmospheric moisture and vertical wind shear are likely to allow the depression to reach and maintain tropical cyclone strength for the next couple of days. Beyond that time frame, the cyclone is forecast to traverse cooler waters and enter a drier, more stable environment. The system is expected to become a remnant low by 72 hours and open into a trough shortly thereafter. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/2100Z 17.1N 105.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 22/0600Z 17.5N 106.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 22/1800Z 17.8N 107.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 23/0600Z 17.9N 108.9W 35 KT 40 MPH 48H 23/1800Z 18.2N 110.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 60H 24/0600Z 18.5N 111.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 72H 24/1800Z 18.9N 112.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Bucci/Jelsema
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
30 knots | 17.1, -105.3 | ||
35 knots | 17.5, -106.4 | ||
35 knots | 17.8, -107.8 | ||
35 knots | 17.9, -108.9 | ||
35 knots | 18.2, -110.0 | ||
30 knots | 18.5, -111.5 | ||
25 knots | 18.9, -112.6 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
0 knots | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
site by Hayley Croft
Make a monthly donation or a one-time donation to help support ongoing costs with Cyclocane.
Play solitaire and track all of the cyclocane storms at the same time at Hurricane Solitaire.