Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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ESTHER Current Status

Current Wind Speed 50 knots / 58 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 50 knots / 58 MPH at 2020-02-24T06:00:00.000Z

ESTHER Land Hazards

ESTHER Tracker

ESTHER Satellite Loop

ESTHER Alternate Tracking Map

ESTHER Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for ESTHER can be found here:

ESTHER spaghetti models page »

ESTHER Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL CYCLONE ESTHER Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE ESTHER Public Advisory

WTPS31 PGTW 240900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (ESTHER) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (ESTHER) WARNING NR 004    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   240600Z --- NEAR 16.7S 137.4E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF 
     SATELLITE AND RADAR
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S 137.4E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   241800Z --- 16.9S 135.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   250600Z --- 17.0S 134.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   251800Z --- 16.8S 132.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   260600Z --- 16.5S 131.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
240900Z POSITION NEAR 16.7S 137.0E.
24FEB20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19P (ESTHER), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 
454 NM SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY, RADAR IMAGERY AND A 240453Z ATMS 88GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE 
DEPICT DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A WELL-DEFINED LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. OVERALL, CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE HAS 
CONSOLIDATED AS THE SYSTEM TRACKED OVER LAND, THEREFORE, THE INITIAL 
INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED SLIGHTLY TO 50 KNOTS. TC 19P IS 
FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF 
A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING THROUGH TAU 48. OVERALL, 
GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT LENDING HIGH 
CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO 
MAINTAIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTH AS IT TRACKS ACROSS NORTHERN 
AUSTRALIA AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK BACK OVER WATER FROM TAU 96 TO 
TAU 108. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REGENERATE QUICKLY OVER WATER. 
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN 
PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF 
REGENERATION.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE ESTHER Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

ESTHER storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2020-02-24T06:00:00.000Z	50 knots	-16.7, 137.4
2020-02-24T18:00:00.000Z	45 knots	-16.9, 135.9
2020-02-25T06:00:00.000Z	40 knots	-17.0, 134.4	dissipating
2020-02-25T18:00:00.000Z	35 knots	-16.8, 132.9	dissipating
2020-02-26T06:00:00.000Z	30 knots	-16.5, 131.3	dissipated

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