( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at
Spaghetti models for ELIDA can be found here:
000 WTPZ34 KNHC 130235 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Elida Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092020 800 PM PDT Wed Aug 12 2020 ...ELIDA BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.4N 120.2W ABOUT 395 MI...635 KM SW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Elida was located near latitude 24.4 North, longitude 120.2 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A northwestward or north-northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected through Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected during the next day or so, and the remnant low is forecast to dissipate early Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Elida that are affecting portions of the west coast of the Baja California peninsula will subside tonight and Thursday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Elida. For additional information on this system please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Brown
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
000 WTPZ44 KNHC 130235 TCDEP4 Post-Tropical Cyclone Elida Discussion Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092020 800 PM PDT Wed Aug 12 2020 Elida has been devoid of deep convection for more than 12 hours, and since it is over SSTs of 22-23 degrees Celsius, it is unlikely that organized deep convection will return. As a result, the system has become a post-tropical cyclone, and this will be the last NHC advisory on Elida. The initial intensity has been set at 35 kt, which is a blend of the latest Dvorak T- and CI-numbers from TAFB and SAB. The cyclone is heading toward even cooler waters and a more stable environment. Continued weakening is therefore expected, and the remnant low is forecast to dissipate by Friday morning. The initial motion estimate is 315/8 kt. A low- to mid-level trough located to the northwest of the cyclone has caused a break in the subtropical ridge. This has allowed the system to turn northwestward, and a northwestward to north-northwestward motion is expected to continue until dissipation occurs on Friday. The global model guidance continues to suggest that the low-level center will decelerate as the mid-level circulation is pulled northward ahead of the aforementioned trough. The new NHC track foreast is similar to the previous advisory and again shows a slower forward motion than the global model trackers. This is the last NHC advisory on Elida. For additional information on this system please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/0300Z 24.4N 120.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 13/1200Z 25.3N 121.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 14/0000Z 26.6N 121.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown
|35 knots||24.4, -120.2||translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL|
|25 knots||25.3, -121.0||POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE|
|20 knots||26.6, -121.5||POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE|
|0 knots||translation missing: en.DISSIPATED|
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