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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

Go to the main page to see active storms.

ELIDA Current Status

...ELIDA BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at

ELIDA Land Hazards

México
Avisos y Alertas
Guatemala
Boletín Meteorológico Informativo
Belize
El Salvador
Informes Especiales

ELIDA Tracker

ELIDA Satellite Loop

ELIDA Alternate Tracking Map

ELIDA Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for ELIDA can be found here:

ELIDA spaghetti models page »

ELIDA Watches and Warnings

Post-Tropical Cyclone ELIDA Tropical Cyclone Update

Post-Tropical Cyclone ELIDA Public Advisory

000
WTPZ34 KNHC 130235
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Elida Advisory Number  17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP092020
800 PM PDT Wed Aug 12 2020
 
...ELIDA BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 120.2W
ABOUT 395 MI...635 KM SW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Elida
was located near latitude 24.4 North, longitude 120.2 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15
km/h).  A northwestward or north-northwestward motion at a slower 
forward speed is expected through Thursday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is expected during the 
next day or so, and the remnant low is forecast to dissipate 
early Friday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Elida that are affecting portions of the
west coast of the Baja California peninsula will subside tonight
and Thursday.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your
local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Elida. For additional information on this system please 
see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, 
under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the 
web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
 
$$
Forecaster Brown

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Post-Tropical Cyclone ELIDA Forecast Discussion

000
WTPZ44 KNHC 130235
TCDEP4
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Elida Discussion Number  17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP092020
800 PM PDT Wed Aug 12 2020
 
Elida has been devoid of deep convection for more than 12 hours, and 
since it is over SSTs of 22-23 degrees Celsius, it is unlikely that 
organized deep convection will return.  As a result, the system 
has become a post-tropical cyclone, and this will be the last NHC 
advisory on Elida.  The initial intensity has been set at 35 kt, 
which is a blend of the latest Dvorak T- and CI-numbers from TAFB 
and SAB.  The cyclone is heading toward even cooler waters and a 
more stable environment.  Continued weakening is therefore 
expected, and the remnant low is forecast to dissipate by Friday 
morning. 

The initial motion estimate is 315/8 kt. A low- to mid-level 
trough located to the northwest of the cyclone has caused a break 
in the subtropical ridge.  This has allowed the system to turn 
northwestward, and a northwestward to north-northwestward motion is 
expected to continue until dissipation occurs on Friday. The global 
model guidance continues to suggest that the low-level center will 
decelerate as the mid-level circulation is pulled northward ahead 
of the aforementioned trough.  The new NHC track foreast is similar 
to the previous advisory and again shows a slower forward motion 
than the global model trackers. 

This is the last NHC advisory on Elida.  For additional information 
on this system please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the 
National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header 
FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  13/0300Z 24.4N 120.2W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  13/1200Z 25.3N 121.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  14/0000Z 26.6N 121.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  14/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Brown

ELIDA storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
35 knots 24.4, -120.2 translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL
25 knots 25.3, -121.0 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
20 knots 26.6, -121.5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
0 knots translation missing: en.DISSIPATED


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