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This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / MPH at
Spaghetti models for 10U can be found here:
IDQ20018 TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION Issued by AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE at: 0125 UTC 09/01/2022 Name: Tropical Low Identifier: 10U Data At: 0000 UTC Latitude: 14.0S Longitude: 147.3E Location Accuracy: within 30nm (55 km) Movement Towards: west southwest (245 deg) Speed of Movement: 5 knots (10 km/h) Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots (55 km/h) Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots (85 km/h) Central Pressure: 1000 hPa Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: Radius of 64-knot winds: nm ( km) Radius of Maximum Winds: nm ( km) Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.5/2.5/D1.0/12HRS STT:D0.5/06HRS Pressure of outermost isobar: 1006 hPa Radius of outermost closed isobar: 60 nm (110 km) FORECAST DATA Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure (UTC) : degrees : nm (km): knots(km/h): hPa +06: 09/0600: 14.0S 146.9E: 045 (085): 030 (055): 1004 +12: 09/1200: 13.9S 146.4E: 055 (100): 030 (055): 1005 +18: 09/1800: 14.0S 145.7E: 060 (105): 035 (065): 1003 +24: 10/0000: 14.0S 145.1E: 060 (110): 040 (075): 1004 +36: 10/1200: 14.1S 144.0E: 070 (130): 040 (075): 1004 +48: 11/0000: 14.1S 142.0E: 085 (160): 030 (055): 1004 +60: 11/1200: 14.2S 140.2E: 110 (205): 040 (075): 1002 +72: 12/0000: 14.1S 138.3E: 110 (205): 050 (095): 999 +96: 13/0000: 14.8S 135.4E: 130 (235): 060 (110): 996 +120: 14/0000: 15.4S 134.4E: 155 (290): 040 (075): 993 REMARKS: Tropical low [10U] is a small system that has shown rapid development over the last 6-12 hours. Position was analysed using microwave and satellite imagery, with gmi/ssmis at 20:10 UTC giving a good fix. Curvature is increasing for 10U, with Dvorak giving DT=2.5. FT/CI are also set at 2.5. Intensity set at 30 knots (10 minute). The tropical low is under moderate shear, which is not forecast to ease, but with SST above 29 degrees development is expected to continue. Given the small size of 10U and the rapid organisation observed overnight, intensification could be rapid. Environmental conditions become more favourable once the system reaches the Gulf of Carpentaria with SSTs above 30C. From Wednesday the shear decreases and upper divergence increases and rapid intensification becomes more likely. There continues to be significant variation between model runs regarding the long term track, with some scenarios indicating the system recurves over the Gulf waters and therefore maintains intensity. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia == The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 09/0730 UTC.
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
30 knots | -14.0, 147.3 |
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