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VICKY Current Status

Current Wind Speed 25 knots / 30 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 25 knots / 30 MPH at 2020-09-17T21:00:00.000Z

Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite

VICKY Land Hazards

VICKY Tracker

VICKY Satellite Loop

VICKY Alternate Tracking Map

VICKY Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for VICKY can be found here:

VICKY spaghetti models page »

VICKY Watches and Warnings

Post-Tropical Cyclone VICKY Tropical Cyclone Update

Post-Tropical Cyclone VICKY Public Advisory

000
WTNT31 KNHC 172037
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Vicky Advisory Number  15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL212020
500 PM AST Thu Sep 17 2020
 
...VICKY BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.1N 39.1W
ABOUT 1050 MI...1690 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Vicky
was located near latitude 21.1 North, longitude 39.1 West.  The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-southwest near 12
mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected through Friday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is expected, and the 
remnant low is forecast to dissipate Friday night or early Saturday.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Vicky.  Additional information on this system can be found 
in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, 
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at 
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
 
$$
Forecaster Brown

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Post-Tropical Cyclone VICKY Forecast Discussion

000
WTNT41 KNHC 172039
TCDAT1
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Vicky Discussion Number  15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL212020
500 PM AST Thu Sep 17 2020
 
There has not been any organized deep convection near the center of 
Vicky in more than 12 hours as very strong vertical wind shear 
continues to take a toll on the cyclone.  Vicky has become a swirl 
of low clouds and no longer meets the definition of a tropical 
cyclone.  Therefore, the system is being declared a remnant low and 
this will be the last NHC advisory on Vicky.  The Dvorak CI-number 
from TAFB suggests that the intensity of the system has fallen to 25 
kt, which is the basis for the advisory wind speed. Very strong 
vertical wind shear associated with outflow from Hurricane Teddy is 
expected to continue to cause the remnant low to weaken, and the 
system is expected to degenerate into a trough of low pressure in 24 
to 36 hours.  The official forecast follows suit and calls for 
dissipation by early Saturday.
 
Vicky is now moving west-southwestward or 250/10 kt. The remnant low
should remain on a west-southwestward heading while it is steered 
by the low-level northeasterly trade wind flow over the next day or 
so. The latest NHC track forecast is near the various consensus 
aids and in the middle of the tightly clustered dynamical models.

This is the last NHC advisory on Vicky. Additional information on 
the remnant low can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the 
National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header 
FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  17/2100Z 21.1N  39.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  18/0600Z 20.6N  40.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  18/1800Z 19.9N  42.1W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  19/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Brown

VICKY storm path from NHC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2020-09-17T21:00:00.000Z	25 knots	21.1, -39.1	translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL
2020-09-18T06:00:00.000Z	25 knots	20.6, -40.4	POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
2020-09-18T18:00:00.000Z	20 knots	19.9, -42.1	POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
2020-09-19T06:00:00.000Z	0 knots		translation missing: en.DISSIPATED

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