Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

Go to the main page to see active storms.

NOUL Current Status

Current Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH at

NOUL Land Hazards

Northwest Pacific Weather Warnings
Taiwan Central Weather Bureau: no warnings
Hong Kong Observatory: no warnings

NOUL Tracker

NOUL Satellite Loop

NOUL Alternate Tracking Map

NOUL Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for NOUL can be found here:

NOUL spaghetti models page »

NOUL Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL STORM NOUL Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL STORM NOUL Public Advisory

WTPN31 PGTW 180900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 13W (NOUL) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (NOUL) WARNING NR 012    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   180600Z --- NEAR 16.3N 105.3E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 27 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF 
     SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N 105.3E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   181800Z --- 16.5N 101.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   190600Z --- 17.0N 98.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
180900Z POSITION NEAR 16.4N 104.4E.
18SEP20. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13W (NOUL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 174 NM
WEST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 27 KNOTS (KTS) OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS
DEEP CONVECTION OBSCURING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
WHICH HAS TRACKED INLAND AND IS LOCATED OVER LAOS. AN 180620Z ATMS
88.2 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING TOWARDS
THE LLCC, LENDING FAIR CONFIDENCE TO THE INITIAL POSITION. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 40 KTS BASED ON A WEAKENING CONVECTIVE
STRUCTURE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOWING WEAKER WIND SPEEDS AND
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURES OF 993-995 MB. DESPITE ROBUST EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW, TS 13W IS TRACKING THROUGH AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
CHARACTERIZED BY HIGH (20-30 KT) NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
AND MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE ADVERSE CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TS 13W TO
STEADILY WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF
A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE
OVER LAND BY TAU 24. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT
PLACING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. THIS IS THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL STORM NOUL Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

NOUL storm path from JTWC

Time Speed Location Status
40 knots 16.3, 105.3
30 knots 16.5, 101.7 dissipating
20 knots 17.0, 98.9 dissipated


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