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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at
Spaghetti models for VERONICA can be found here:
VERONICA spaghetti models page »
WTXS32 PGTW 260300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (VERONICA) WARNING NR 026A CORRECTED//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (VERONICA) WARNING NR 026A CORRECTED
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 20.9S 115.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.9S 115.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 21.5S 114.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 22.0S 113.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
260300Z POSITION NEAR 21.1S 115.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (VERONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 123 NM
NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) THAT IS FULLY
EXPOSED AND STRIPPED OF ANY DEEP CONVECTION. THE INITIAL POSITION IS
PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE DEFINED LLC IN THE EIR THAT
MATCHED PERFECTLY WITH AN LLC FEATURE IN THE COMPOSITE RADAR LOOP
FROM LEARMONTH. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35KTS IS BASED ON THE HIGH
END OF AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES AND NEARBY SURFACE WIND OBSERVATIONS,
INCLUDING THOSE FROM VARANUS ISLAND, 153M TO THE NORTHWEST, AND
KARRATHA AIRFIELD, 15NM TO THE SOUTHEAST. TC 21S WILL CONTINUE TO
RAPIDLY DETERIORATE MAINLY DUE TO STRONG (GREATER THAN 30KTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, LEADING TO DISSIPATION BY TAU 12. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL
HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 12 FEET.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (JOANINHA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED WARNING NUMBER FROM
WARNING NR 27 TO WARNING NR 26.//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 knots | -20.9, 115.7 | dissipating | |
| 30 knots | -21.5, 114.3 | dissipated | |
| 25 knots | -22.0, 113.1 | dissipated |
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