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( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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TAUKTAE Current Status

Current Wind Speed 110 knots / 127 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 110 knots / 127 MPH at 2021-05-17T18:00:00.000Z

TAUKTAE Land Hazards

No land hazards or hazard data not available for this storm.

TAUKTAE Tracker

TAUKTAE Satellite Loop

TAUKTAE Alternate Tracking Map

TAUKTAE Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for TAUKTAE can be found here:

TAUKTAE spaghetti models page »

TAUKTAE Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL CYCLONE TAUKTAE Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE TAUKTAE Public Advisory

WTIO31 PGTW 172100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01A (TAUKTAE) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01A (TAUKTAE) WARNING NR 015    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   171800Z --- NEAR 20.8N 71.3E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N 71.3E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   180600Z --- 22.5N 71.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   181800Z --- 24.4N 72.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   190600Z --- 26.2N 73.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
172100Z POSITION NEAR 21.2N 71.4E.
17MAY21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01A (TAUKTAE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
140 NM NORTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT
08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) 
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 01A HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED 
JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL, WITH A 20NM EYE FEATURE, SURROUNDED BY A 
SOLID RING OF COLD CLOUD TOPS IN THE BD ENHANCEMENT. THE SYSTEM WAS 
IN THE PROCESS OF CROSSING THE SHORELINE AT THE 171800Z HOUR, VERY 
NEAR TO JAFARABAD, INDIA. THE INITIAL POSITION WAS PLACED WITH HIGH 
CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE 20NM EYE FEATURE IN THE EIR LOOP. THE 
INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 110 KTS WITH MODERATE CONFIDENCE, 
REFLECTING THE IMPROVED INFRARED SIGNATURE, COLDER CLOUD TOPS AND 
WARMER EYE TEMPERATURE. MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY 
ESTIMATES OF T6.0 (115 KTS) FROM PGTW, T5.5 (102 KTS) FROM DEMS, AND 
AN ADT ESTIMATE OF T6.0, LEND ADDITIONAL CONFIDENCE TO THE INITIAL 
INTENSITY. THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS CONDUCIVE, WITH LOW (10-
15 KTS) VWS AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. NOW THAT THE SYSTEM IS OVER 
LAND HOWEVER, IT IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN DUE TO THE 
COMBINATION OF LAND INTERACTION AND RAPIDLY INCREASING VWS AS IT 
TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD. SIGNIFICANT SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE 
IN THE GULF OF KHAMBAHT THROUGH TAU 12 EVEN THOUGH THE SYSTEM ITSELF 
WILL BE CENTERED WELL INLAND. TC 01A IS FORECAST TO FULLY DISSIPATE 
AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE BY TAU 36 AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE ARAVALLI 
MOUNTAINS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT 
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED 
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z
IS 38 FEET.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE TAUKTAE Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

TAUKTAE storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2021-05-17T18:00:00.000Z	110 knots	20.8, 71.3
2021-05-18T06:00:00.000Z	80 knots	22.5, 71.6	dissipating
2021-05-18T18:00:00.000Z	50 knots	24.4, 72.5	dissipating
2021-05-19T06:00:00.000Z	30 knots	26.2, 73.9	dissipated

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