Cyclocane

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This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.

SIX Current Status

Current Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH at

SIX Land Hazards

India

No land hazards or hazard data not available for this storm.

SIX Tracker

SIX Satellite Loop

SIX Alternate Tracking Map

SIX Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for SIX can be found here:

SIX spaghetti models page »

SIX Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX Public Advisory

WTIO31 PGTW 050300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06A (SIX) WARNING NR 009    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   050000Z --- NEAR 9.6N 56.2E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 9.6N 56.2E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   051200Z --- 9.9N 54.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   060000Z --- 9.4N 53.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   061200Z --- 8.7N 51.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   070000Z --- 8.0N 49.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
050300Z POSITION NEAR 9.7N 55.8E.
05DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06A (SIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 
461 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SALALAH, OMAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD 
AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED 
(EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION 
WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL 
POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE AND IS BASED ON A 042146Z 
89GHZ GMI MICROWAVE IMAGE WHICH SHOWS A DEFINED LLCC. THE INITIAL 
INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS HEDGED BETWEEN A PGTW DVORAK CURRENT 
INTENSITY (CI) ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS) AND AN OLDER 041726Z 
SATCON ESTIMATE OF 47 KNOTS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS NEUTRAL TO 
UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20 TO 25 KNOTS). HOWEVER, THERE IS 
A ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN 
FAVORABLE, NEAR 27 DEGREES CELSIUS. TC 06A IS TRACKING WESTWARD 
WHILE POSITIONED ON THE SOUTHWESTERN EDGE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE 
(STR) LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST. AS THAT STR EXTENDS WESTWARD A 
SECOND STR TO THE NORTHWEST WILL BECOME THE PRIMARY STEERING FEATURE 
AND CAUSE TC 06A TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE TC 06A TO 
STEADILY WEAKEN IN INTENSITY AND DISSIPATE TO 30 KNOTS BY TAU 48. 
DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT, THEREFORE, THERE IS 
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE 
HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z, 051500Z, 
052100Z AND 060300Z.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

SIX storm path from JTWC

Time Speed Location Status
40 knots 9.6, 56.2
40 knots 9.9, 54.8
40 knots 9.4, 53.1
35 knots 8.7, 51.3 dissipating
30 knots 8.0, 49.6 dissipated


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