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* stats delayed and were probably not accurate to begin with

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This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.

SEVEN Current Status

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...

Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 75 knots / 85 MPH at

Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite

current US watches/warnings

map of current weather alerts in the United States

current radar loop

NWS weather radar loop of the coastal areas

If you're looking for other US radar loops, check out Radar Monster.

future radar imagery

future radar image of the Atlantic Ocean basin showing future possible storms and future locations of current storms

(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)

If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.

SEVEN Land Hazards

NWS Local Hurricane Statements

SEVEN Tracker

SEVEN Satellite Loop

visible satellite loop of Tropical Depression SEVEN from wisc.edu

SEVEN Alternate Tracking Map

SEVEN Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for SEVEN can be found here:

SEVEN spaghetti models page »

SEVEN Watches and Warnings

National Hurricane Center image showing current coastal watches and warnings and future SEVEN predicted path

Tropical Depression SEVEN Tropical Cyclone Update

Tropical Depression SEVEN Public Advisory

000
WTNT32 KNHC 170834
TCPAT2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Seven Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072025
500 AM AST Wed Sep 17 2025
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 45.9W
ABOUT 1185 MI...1905 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Seven
was located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 45.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h). A 
west-northwestward to northwestward motion across the tropical and 
subtropical central Atlantic is expected during the next few days.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is expected, and the system could become a 
tropical storm later today or tonight.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Tropical Depression SEVEN Forecast Discussion

000
WTNT42 KNHC 170835
TCDAT2
 
Tropical Depression Seven Discussion Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072025
500 AM AST Wed Sep 17 2025

Satellite data indicate that Invest 92L over the central tropical 
Atlantic has now developed into a tropical depression.  ASCAT data 
from around 00Z showed that the circulation of the system had 
improved, and although it was not well defined at the time of the 
pass, the system was only lacking some northerly winds on its west 
side.  Since deep convection has been persisting and consolidating 
near the center, it appears to now meet the convective and 
circulation criteria needed to be considered a tropical cyclone.  
However, it should be noted that the system is quite large and there 
is still considerable north-south elongation in the low-level 
structure. The initial intensity is set at 30 kt based on a blend of 
the ASCAT data and the latest Dvorak estimate from TAFB.  The 
development of this system breaks a nearly 3-week streak of no 
tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin during the peak of the 
hurricane season.

The depression is well away from land and roughly midway between the 
Cabo Verde Islands and the Windward Islands.  The system is 
estimated to be moving westward at 11 kt, but this is of low 
confidence since the center has only recently formed.  A turn to the 
northwest, perhaps influenced by a center formation, is expected to 
occur soon as the depression moves toward a weakness in the Atlantic 
subtropical ridge caused by a mid- to upper-level low to its north.  
The models show this low weakening in a day or two, which will 
likely cause the cyclone to turn back to the west-northwest late 
this week.  However, the system should reach the western periphery 
of the ridge this weekend, resulting in a turn to the northwest or 
north.  The NHC track forecast is a little to the right of the 
consensus aids, giving more weight to the ECMWF and Google Deep Mind 
predictions, which are faster and on the right side of the guidance. 
Based on the steering pattern, and deterministic and ensemble model 
solutions, there is high confidence that this system should pass 
well east of the Windward and Leeward Islands.  Interests in Bermuda 
should monitor forecasts of the depression over the next several 
days.

Only modest strengthening is expected over the next day or two as 
the depression continues to battle moderate shear from the 
aforementioned low aloft and intrusions of dry air.  However, more 
notable strengthening seems likely by the weekend when the system 
moves into more conducive environmental conditions.  The NHC 
intensity forecast shows the system reaching hurricane strength 
toward the end of the period, but it should be noted that the spread 
in the models at that time is significant and ranges from solutions 
showing a weak low to a major hurricane.  This prediction is 
generally in line with the IVCN aid.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  17/0900Z 13.7N  45.9W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  17/1800Z 15.8N  47.4W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  18/0600Z 17.6N  49.6W   40 KT  45 MPH
 36H  18/1800Z 19.0N  51.9W   40 KT  45 MPH
 48H  19/0600Z 19.7N  54.0W   45 KT  50 MPH
 60H  19/1800Z 20.4N  55.9W   50 KT  60 MPH
 72H  20/0600Z 21.6N  57.6W   55 KT  65 MPH
 96H  21/0600Z 24.0N  60.0W   65 KT  75 MPH
120H  22/0600Z 26.9N  63.0W   75 KT  85 MPH
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

SEVEN storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
30 knots 13.7, -45.9
35 knots 15.8, -47.4
40 knots 17.6, -49.6
40 knots 19.0, -51.9
45 knots 19.7, -54.0
50 knots 20.4, -55.9
55 knots 21.6, -57.6
65 knots 24.0, -60.0
75 knots 26.9, -63.0


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