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PATRICIA Current Status

...PATRICIA DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW... ...HEAVY RAIN THREAT CONTINUES...

Current Wind Speed 25 knots / 30 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 25 knots / 30 MPH at

PATRICIA Land Hazards

México
Avisos y Alertas
SITUACIÓN ACTUAL: Baja Remanente de “PATRICIA” localizada entre los estados de Coahuila y Nuevo León, mantendrá aún lluvias de muy fuertes a puntualmente intensas en el noreste y occidente del país, así como rachas de viento superior a 50 km/h en el norte y noreste del país.
Durante la tarde continuarán las rachas de viento de hasta 55 km/h sobre Zacatecas, Nuevo León y Coahuila, se prevé que %u201CPatricia%u201D se disipe durante esta noche, sin embargo su nubosidad remanente mantendrá interacción con el frente frío No. 8 sobre el Noreste de México, generando el potencial para la presencia de tormentas y granizadas, e incluso formación de posibles torbellinos o tornados en el norte de los estados de Coahuila, Nuevo León y Tamaulipas.
Guatemala
Boletín Meteorológico Informativo
Belize
El Salvador
Informes Especiales

PATRICIA Tracker

PATRICIA Satellite Loop

PATRICIA Alternate Tracking Map

PATRICIA Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for PATRICIA can be found here:

PATRICIA spaghetti models page »

PATRICIA Watches and Warnings

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA Tropical Cyclone Update

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA Public Advisory

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 242031
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202015
400 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...PATRICIA DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW...
...HEAVY RAIN THREAT CONTINUES...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.3N 100.6W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SW OF MONTERREY MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Patricia, a remnant low pressure area, was located near latitude
25.3 North, longitude 100.6 West.  The post-tropical cyclone is
moving toward the northeast near 22 mph (35 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue until the low dissipates tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
The remnant low is expected to weaken to a trough during the next
several hours, and the remnants of Patricia should be absorbed by a
non-tropical low pressure system over southern Texas later tonight
or on Sunday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  While heavy rains near the center of Patricia have
decreased significantly as the cyclone has weakened over
northeastern Mexico, the heavy rain threat ahead of the remnants of
Patricia will increase this evening across northeast Mexico into
coastal sections of Texas.   This heavy rain threat will continue
across the western Gulf coast through this weekend and spread into
the central Gulf coast by early next week.  These rains may produce
dangerous flash floods.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  Additional information on the continuing
threat of heavy rains can be found in statements from National
Weather Service local forecast offices and the Meteorological
Service of Mexico.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA Forecast Discussion

000
WTPZ45 KNHC 242031
TCDEP5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202015
400 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

Satellite imagery and surface observations from northern Mexico
indicate that Patricia has degenerated to a remnant low pressure
area characterized by no organized convection and a poorly defined
surface circulation.  The remnant low is expected to move
northeastward and weaken to a trough during the next several hours,
with the trough being absorbed by a non-tropical area of low
pressure over southern Texas tonight or on Sunday.

This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center
on Patricia.  However, a threat of heavy rains continues over
portions of Mexico and the northwestern coastal areas of the Gulf of
Mexico. Future information on these rains can be found in statements
issued by local National Weather Service forecast offices and the
Meteorological Service of Mexico.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  24/2100Z 25.3N 100.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  25/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

PATRICIA storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
25 knots 25.3, -100.6 translation missing: en.POST TROP/REMNT LOW
0 knots , translation missing: en.DISSIPATED


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