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OLAF Current Status

...OLAF BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

Current Wind Speed 40 knots / 45 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 40 knots / 45 MPH at

OLAF Land Hazards

México
Avisos y Alertas
SITUACIÓN ACTUAL: "Olaf", se ha convertido en ciclón extratropical, se mueve hacia el este-noreste, lejos de costas nacionales.
Guatemala
Boletín Meteorológico Informativo
Belize
El Salvador
Informes Especiales

No land hazards or hazard data not available for this storm.

OLAF Tracker

OLAF Satellite Loop

OLAF Alternate Tracking Map

OLAF Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for OLAF can be found here:

OLAF spaghetti models page »

OLAF Watches and Warnings

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLAF Tropical Cyclone Update

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLAF Public Advisory

000
WTPZ34 KNHC 271434
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER  51
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192015
800 AM PDT TUE OCT 27 2015

...OLAF BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.7N 135.1W
ABOUT 1355 MI...2180 KM ENE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Olaf
was located near latitude 26.7 North, longitude 135.1 West.  The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 10
mph (17 km/h), and this general motion with a decrease in forward
speed is expected today, followed by a turn toward the southwest
and west-southwest on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Thursday.

Gale-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Olaf.  For additional information on the remnant low
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN01 KWBC, and
on the web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEP1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLAF Forecast Discussion

000
WTPZ44 KNHC 271435
TCDEP4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER  51
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192015
800 AM PDT TUE OCT 27 2015

Geostationary satellite imagery indicates that the system is devoid
of deep convection, so Olaf is no longer a tropical cyclone and
advisories are being discontinued at this time.  Data from a recent
scatterometer overpass showed that the low-level circulation
is becoming elongated, but the system is still producing winds to
gale force.  With the lack of convection or strong baroclinic
forcing, the cyclone is likely to gradually spin down and dissipate
in a few days.

The post-tropical cyclone has been moving east-northeastward, or
060/9 kt.  Global models show a low-level ridge building to the
north of the system over the next couple of days.  This should
cause a turn toward the southwest and west-southwest by tomorrow.
The official forecast also shows this turn, although it is not
quite as fast as the dynamical model consensus.

For additional information on Olaf, please see High SeasForecasts
issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header
NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN01 KWBC, and on the web at
http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEP1.shtml.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  27/1500Z 26.7N 135.1W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  28/0000Z 26.9N 134.4W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  28/1200Z 26.2N 134.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  29/0000Z 25.4N 136.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  29/1200Z 25.0N 138.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  30/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch

OLAF storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
40 knots 26.7, -135.1 translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL
30 knots 26.9, -134.4 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
25 knots 26.2, -134.9 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
25 knots 25.4, -136.4 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
20 knots 25.0, -138.0 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
0 knots , translation missing: en.DISSIPATED


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