Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

Go to the main page to see active storms.

NIVAR Current Status

Current Wind Speed 55 knots / 63 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 55 knots / 63 MPH at

NIVAR Land Hazards

India

No land hazards or hazard data not available for this storm.

NIVAR Tracker

NIVAR Satellite Loop

NIVAR Alternate Tracking Map

NIVAR Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for NIVAR can be found here:

NIVAR spaghetti models page »

NIVAR Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL CYCLONE NIVAR Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE NIVAR Public Advisory

WTIO32 PGTW 260300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (NIVAR) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (NIVAR) WARNING NR 011    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   260000Z --- NEAR 12.3N 79.4E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF 
     SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N 79.4E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   261200Z --- 13.0N 78.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   270000Z --- 13.6N 78.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
260300Z POSITION NEAR 12.5N 79.3E.
26NOV20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (NIVAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 804
NM SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) 
HAS MOVED OVER LAND AND REMAINS OBSCURED BY DEEP CONVECTION. THE 
INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE BASED ON A TIMELY 
252335Z GMI 37GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE AND THE MSI. THE INITIAL 
INTENSITY OF 55 KTS IS BASED ON AN UNOFFICIAL PGTW DVORAK CURRENT 
INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.5 (55 KTS) AND A WEAKENING TREND FROM A 
252049Z SATCON ESTIMATE OF 58 KTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK 
ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) 
POSITIONED TO THE NORTHEAST. TC NIVAR IS TRACKING OVER LAND AND 
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD, STEADILY WEAKENING UNTIL 
DISSIPATION AROUND TAU 24. THERE IS LOW PROBABILITY OF THIS SYSTEM 
REGENERATING OVER THE ARABIAN SEA. OVERALL, MODEL GUIDANCE LENDS 
GOOD CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK.THIS IS THE FINAL 
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR 
HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE NIVAR Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

NIVAR storm path from JTWC

Time Speed Location Status
55 knots 12.3, 79.4 dissipating
40 knots 13.0, 78.9 dissipating
30 knots 13.6, 78.3 dissipated


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