This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
A small percentage of post-tropical cyclones will become tropical again. In that case, this page will be updated again with the latest advisories and warnings.
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / MPH at
Alternate tracking maps are only available on NHC tracked storms.
Spaghetti models for Narelle can be found here:
Watches and Warnings are currently only available for NHC tracked storms.
500 AXAU01 APRF 141817 IDW27600 TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - WESTERN REGION Issued by PERTH TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE at: 1816 UTC 14/01/2013 Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Narelle Identifier: 05U Data At: 1800 UTC Latitude: 28.8S Longitude: 109.8E Location Accuracy: within 40 nm [80 km] Movement Towards: south [178 deg] Speed of Movement: 13 knots [23 km/h] Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots [55 km/h] Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots [85 km/h] Central Pressure: 996 hPa Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: Radius of 64-knot winds: Radius of Maximum Winds: Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.0/2.5/W1.5/24HRS Pressure of outermost isobar: 1006 hPa Radius of outermost closed isobar: 140 nm [260 km] Storm Depth: Medium FORECAST DATA Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure [UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa +12: 15/0600: 32.1S 111.6E: 065 : 030 : 996 +24: 15/1800: 36.7S 116.2E: 090 : 025 : 999 +36: 16/0600: 41.4S 123.5E: 110 : 020 : 1000 +48: 16/1800: 46.1S 131.7E: 130 : 020 : 998 +60: 17/0600: 50.3S 140.5E: 150 : 020 : 996 +72: 17/1800: 54.1S 149.1E: 170 : 025 : 991 REMARKS: Narelle has been declassified as a Tropical Cyclone based on consistent FTs of 2.0 to 2.5 over the last 6 hours and the subjective CI dropping to 2.5. ADT CI has been below 3 for six hours also. The system is highly sheared from the NNW with the low level centre difficult to locate. Recent FTs have been based on MET. Model guidance continues to show a low spread in track forecasts with expected motion becoming southeast today and faster as the remnant circulation loses coherence. When the remnants pass by the south west of the state the surface winds are not expected to be very strong but stronger winds just above the surface pose a risk to any going fires. Higher than normal tides are expected along the west coast as a shelf wave moves down the coast. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia == There will be no further bulletins for this system unless it reintensifies.
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
|30 knots||-28.8, 109.8|
|30 knots||-32.1, 111.6|
|25 knots||-36.7, 116.2|
|20 knots||-41.4, 123.5|
|20 knots||-46.1, 131.7|
|20 knots||-50.3, 140.5|
|25 knots||-54.1, 149.1|
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