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Current View of the Atlantic Basin

Tropical Outlook

Per current tropical weather outlooks, the highest current potential of a new tropical cyclone in this basin is medium.

Atlantic Active Storms

Tropical Depression SEVENTEEN


000
      ABNT20 KNHC 251345
      TWOAT 
      
      Special Tropical Weather Outlook
      NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
      945 AM EDT Fri Oct 25 2019
      
      For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
      
      Special outlook issued to update discussion of systems in the Gulf
      of Mexico and southwest of the Azores.
      
      Updated: Visible satellite imagery and surface observations indicate
      that a tropical cyclone is forming in the western Gulf of Mexico,
      and advisories will be initiated on this system later this morning.
      The system is forecast to merge with a cold front and become post-
      tropical tonight over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Gale-force
      winds are expected behind the cold front over the western Gulf of
      Mexico today and Saturday. For more information, see High Seas
      Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. An Air Force
      Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
      system later today.
      * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
      * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.
      
      Updated: Recent satellite derived winds indicate that the small
      non-tropical low centered a few hundred miles southwest of the
      western Azores is producing tropical-storm-force winds near the
      center. The thunderstorm activity is becoming better organized and
      if this trend continues a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form
      later today. The low is forecast to move toward the east-northeast
      for the next day or so and interests in the Azores should monitor
      the progress of this system. For more information, see High Seas
      Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
      * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
      * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
      
      &&
      High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
      found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
      online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
      
      $$
      Forecaster Avila


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