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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at
Spaghetti models for MADELINE can be found here:
MADELINE spaghetti models page »
000 WTPZ34 KNHC 202040 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Madeline Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142022 300 PM MDT Tue Sep 20 2022 ...MADELINE DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.3N 112.5W ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Madeline was located near latitude 21.3 North, longitude 112.5 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue with a gradual turn west-southwestward later this week. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and the remnant low is likely to dissipate by the end the week. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Madeline will affect the southern Baja California peninsula through this evening. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. $$ Forecaster Bucci/Jelsema
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
000 WTPZ44 KNHC 202040 TCDEP4 Post-Tropical Cyclone Madeline Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142022 300 PM MDT Tue Sep 20 2022 Madeline has lacked organized deep convection for about 16 hours and it is unlikely to redevelop any in the future. Therefore, the system has become a post-tropical remnant low and this will be the final NHC advisory on Madeline. A recent scatterometer overpass supports maintaining the initial intensity at 30 kt for this advisory. The remnant low should gradually spin down over the next few days and is expected to open up into a trough by the end of the forecast period. The depression is moving just north of west at 280/5 kt. This general motion is expected to continue with a gradual turn to the west-southwest moving with the low-level steering flow. The NHC track forecast remains close to the multi-model consensus aids. This is the final NHC advisory for Madeline. For additional information on the remnant, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/2100Z 21.3N 112.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 21/0600Z 21.4N 113.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 21/1800Z 21.6N 115.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 22/0600Z 21.6N 116.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 22/1800Z 21.4N 117.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 23/0600Z 21.2N 119.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 23/1800Z 21.0N 121.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 24/1800Z 20.6N 124.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 25/1800Z 20.2N 128.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Bucci/Jelsema
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
30 knots | 21.3, -112.5 | translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL | |
30 knots | 21.4, -113.6 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
25 knots | 21.6, -115.1 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
25 knots | 21.6, -116.5 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
25 knots | 21.4, -117.9 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
25 knots | 21.2, -119.5 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
20 knots | 21.0, -121.2 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
20 knots | 20.6, -124.8 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
20 knots | 20.2, -128.0 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE |
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