Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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KULAP Current Status

Current Wind Speed 65 knots / 75 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 70 knots / 81 MPH at 2022-09-29T06:00:00.000Z

KULAP Land Hazards

Northwest Pacific Weather Warnings

Taiwan Central Weather Bureau: no warnings
Hong Kong Observatory: no warnings

KULAP Tracker

KULAP Satellite Loop

KULAP Alternate Tracking Map

KULAP Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for KULAP can be found here:

KULAP spaghetti models page »

KULAP Watches and Warnings

TYPHOON KULAP Tropical Cyclone Update

TYPHOON KULAP Public Advisory

WTPN31 PGTW 282100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 19W (KULAP) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 19W (KULAP) WARNING NR 013
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   281800Z --- NEAR 36.6N 153.1E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 28 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 36.6N 153.1E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   290600Z --- 41.6N 159.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 41 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   291800Z --- 48.1N 166.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 37.9N 154.7E.
28SEP22. TYPHOON (TY) 19W (KULAP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 603 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 28 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TY 19W IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MIDLATITUDE
WESTERLIES, UNDER THE JET WITH STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MODEL
ANALYSIS DATA INDICATES A FRONTAL STRUCTURE WITH THICKNESS PACKING
AND COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE; A WEAK COLD FRONT
IS EVIDENT IN ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY. CORE
STRUCTURE IN EIR, HOWEVER, HAS PERSISTED WITH A LARGE EYE NOW
BROADENING WITH WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM HAS THUS
FAR BEEN ABLE TO COCOON ITSELF FROM THE HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT DUE TO
STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. A 281543Z
AMSR2 WINDSPEED IMAGE INDICATES AN ASYMMETRIC WINDFIELD WITH 65 TO 70
KNOT WINDS OVER THE EASTERN QUADRANT AND EXTENSIVE GALE-FORCE WINDS
OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS ASSESSED
AT 65 KNOTS BASED ON THE PGTW DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T4.0 (65
KNOTS), WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY THE AMSR2 WINDSPEED DATA. TY 19W IS
FORECAST TO RAPIDLY COMPLETE EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION OVER THE NEXT
12 HOURS AS IT OCCLUDES AND ACCELERATES NORTHEASTWARD OVER COLD WATER
(LESS THAN 20C). HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN TYPHOON-STRENGTH
WINDS AS IT APPROACHES THE ALEUTIAN ISLAND CHAIN. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR
HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 40 FEET. REFER TO
TROPICAL STORM 20W (ROKE) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.

//
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Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TYPHOON KULAP Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

KULAP storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2022-09-28T18:00:00.000Z	65 knots	36.6, 153.1
2022-09-29T06:00:00.000Z	70 knots	41.6, 159.5
2022-09-29T18:00:00.000Z	70 knots	48.1, 166.6

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