Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

Go to the main page to see active storms.

KUJIRA Current Status

Current Wind Speed 55 knots / 63 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 55 knots / 63 MPH at

KUJIRA Land Hazards

Northwest Pacific Weather Warnings
Taiwan Central Weather Bureau: no warnings
Hong Kong Observatory: no warnings

KUJIRA Tracker

KUJIRA Satellite Loop

KUJIRA Alternate Tracking Map

KUJIRA Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for KUJIRA can be found here:

KUJIRA spaghetti models page »

KUJIRA Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA Public Advisory

WTPN31 PGTW 292100 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 15W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 013A CORRECTED//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 15W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 013A    
   DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 15W
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   291800Z --- NEAR 38.0N 158.2E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 38.0N 158.2E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   300600Z --- 40.5N 162.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 24 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   301800Z --- 41.7N 169.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
292100Z POSITION NEAR 38.6N 159.4E.
29SEP20. TROPICAL STORM 15W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 802
NM EAST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS ACCELERATED NORTHEASTWARD AND
ELONGATED ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. THE INITIAL POSITION IS
PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE BASED ON LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES 
APPARENT IN THE EIR LOOP THAT ARE FEEDING INTO A PARTIALLY
OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
PLACE WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE AND IS BASED ON THE WEAKENING
TREND IN MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T3.0/3.5
(PGTW) AND T3.5/4.0 (RJTD). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES
THE SYSTEM HAS DRIFTED INTO HIGH (40+ KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR,
COLD (<25 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND HAS ENTERED INTO
THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION (ETT) AND WILL COMPLETE ETT BY TAU 12. NUMERICAL
MODEL SOLUTIONS REMAIN IN TIGHT AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT THE 
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, LENDING HIGH OVERALL
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING 
ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE 
SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. 
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 23 FEET.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED DISCUSSION OF
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND STORM STATUS TO REMARKS.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

KUJIRA storm path from JTWC

Time Speed Location Status
55 knots 38.0, 158.2
45 knots 40.5, 162.9
35 knots 41.7, 169.1


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