Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
English Español Deutsch Français 日本語
This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
KARL Current Status
...KARL BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD STILL RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO THIS WEEKEND...
Current Wind Speed 25 knots / 30 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 25 knots / 30 MPH at
Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite
current US watches/warnings
live tornado/thunderstorm tracker - tornadohq
future radar imagery - my future radar
future radar imagery
(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)
If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.
KARL Land Hazards
NWS Local Hurricane Statements
- No warnings
- RAINFALL - The remnants of Karl are expected to produce 2 to 5 inches of rain, with local maxima up to 8 inches, across portions of Veracruz, Tabasco, and northern Chiapas and Oaxaca states in Mexico through Sunday morning. These rains could produce flash flooding, along with mudslides, in higher terrain.
- SURF - Swells generated by this system are expected to affect the Mexican coastline through tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
KARL Tracker
KARL Satellite Loop
KARL Alternate Tracking Map
KARL Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for KARL can be found here:
KARL Watches and Warnings
Post-Tropical Cyclone KARL Tropical Cyclone Update
Post-Tropical Cyclone KARL Public Advisory
000 WTNT34 KNHC 150847 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Karl Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142022 400 AM CDT Sat Oct 15 2022 ...KARL BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD STILL RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO THIS WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.6N 93.0W ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM W OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM ENE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 215 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Karl was located near latitude 18.6 North, longitude 93.0 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the southwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A southwestward to west-southwestward motion is expected today, and the center of the low should move along the coast of southern Mexico this morning, and inland by later today. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and the low is expected to dissipate tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for the system can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/MIATCDAT4.shtml RAINFALL: The remnants of Karl are expected to produce 2 to 5 inches of rain, with local maxima up to 8 inches, across portions of Veracruz, Tabasco, and northern Chiapas and Oaxaca states in Mexico through Sunday morning. These rains could produce flash flooding, along with mudslides, in higher terrain. SURF: Swells generated by this system are expected to affect the Mexican coastline through tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on heavy rainfall and flooding, please see products issued by your national meteorological service. $$ Forecaster Brown
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Post-Tropical Cyclone KARL Forecast Discussion
679 WTNT44 KNHC 150847 TCDAT4 Post-Tropical Cyclone Karl Discussion Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142022 400 AM CDT Sat Oct 15 2022 Moderate to strong vertical wind shear and relatively low mid-level humidities have continued to take a toll on Karl. Satellite data and radar imagery from Mexico indicate that the cyclone has not produced any organized deep convection since around midday yesterday, and it is very unlikely any will return this morning. Therefore, Karl has become a remnant low and this will be the last NHC advisory on this system. The radar imagery has revealed a persistent area of showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall well south of Karl's center that appears to be related to upslope flow against the mountainous terrain of southern Mexico. Within this cluster of convection, a significant amount of lightning has been noted in the GOES Lightning Mapper (GLM) data overnight. Karl's remnants could still produce flash flooding and mudslides over portions of southern Mexico through this weekend. The initial intensity has been reduced to 25 kt, which is a blend of Dvorak T- and CI-numbers from TAFB and SAB. The global models indicate that the remnant low will continue to spin down today, and the official forecast calls for it to become a trough of low pressure by tonight when it moves inland over southern Mexico. The low is currently moving southwestward at about 4 kt, and a southwestward to west-southwestward motion should continue until dissipation occurs. This motion should bring the center of the cyclone along the southern coast of the Bay of Campeche this morning, and inland by later today. This is the last NHC advisory on this system. For additional information on heavy rainfall and flooding, please see products issued by your national meteorological service. Key Messages: 1. Heavy rainfall associated with the remnants of Karl could produce instances of flash flooding, with mudslides in areas of higher terrain, across portions of Veracruz, Tabasco, Chiapas and Oaxaca states in Mexico. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 15/0900Z 18.6N 93.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 15/1800Z 18.3N 93.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown
KARL storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 knots | 18.6, -93.0 | translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL | |
| 20 knots | 18.3, -93.9 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 0 knots | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
site by Hayley Croft
Want to help support this site?
- Tell your friends about Cyclocane
- make a donation - totally optional but completely appreciated
Make a monthly donation or a one-time donation to help support ongoing costs with Cyclocane.
Play solitaire and track all of the cyclocane storms at the same time at Hurricane Solitaire.