Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

Go to the main page to see active storms.

JERRY Current Status

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JERRY NO LONGER HAS SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at

Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite

current US watches/warnings

current radar loop

future radar imagery

(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)

If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.

JERRY Land Hazards

NWS Local Hurricane Statements

JERRY Tracker

JERRY Satellite Loop

JERRY Alternate Tracking Map

JERRY Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for JERRY can be found here:

JERRY spaghetti models page »

JERRY Watches and Warnings

Post-Tropical Cyclone JERRY Tropical Cyclone Update

Post-Tropical Cyclone JERRY Public Advisory

000
WTNT35 KNHC 252038
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry Advisory Number  34
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102019
500 PM AST Wed Sep 25 2019

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JERRY NO LONGER HAS SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.2N 65.6W
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM W OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Bermuda Weather Service has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for Bermuda.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry
was located near latitude 32.2 North, longitude 65.6 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 12
mph (19 km/h).   A turn toward the east and east-southeast is
expected over the next couple of days.  On the forecast track, the
center of Jerry is expected to pass near or over Bermuda in a few
hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is expected during the next few days.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical-storm-force wind gusts are possible over Bermuda
during the next several hours, especially at elevated sites.

RAINFALL:  Jerry is expected to produce 1 inch or less of rainfall
across Bermuda through tonight.

SURF:  Swells generated by Jerry will continue to affect Bermuda
during the next few days.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Post-Tropical Cyclone JERRY Forecast Discussion

716 
WTNT45 KNHC 252038
TCDAT5

Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry Discussion Number  34
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102019
500 PM AST Wed Sep 25 2019

Multiple scatterometer passes over Jerry indicate that the cyclone
no longer has sustained tropical-storm-force winds.  Therefore
Jerry is now a remnant low, and the Bermuda Weather Service has
discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Bermuda.  However, wind
gusts to tropical storm force are still possible on the island
during the next few hours, especially at elevated observing sites.
Based on the scatterometer data, the current intensity is estimated
to be 30 kt. The low-cloud swirl is becoming less well-defined, and
since the system will continue moving through a hostile environment
of strong shear and dry mid-level air, steady weakening is likely.
The cyclone should dissipate in 2-3 days.  The NHC intensity
forecast is close to the latest intensity model consensus.

The system is moving east-northeastward at a slightly faster clip,
or 070/10 kt.  A gradual turn to the east and east-southeast is
forecast as the cyclone moves along the southern edge of the band of
mid-latitude westerlies, and then turns to the right along the
northeastern periphery of a subtropical anticyclone before
dissipating.

This is the last advisory on Jerry.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  25/2100Z 32.2N  65.6W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  26/0600Z 32.8N  63.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  26/1800Z 33.7N  61.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  27/0600Z 34.7N  59.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  27/1800Z 35.0N  56.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  28/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch

JERRY storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
30 knots 32.2, -65.6 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
30 knots 32.8, -63.8 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
25 knots 33.7, -61.5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
25 knots 34.7, -59.0 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
20 knots 35.0, -56.5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
0 knots translation missing: en.DISSIPATED


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