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      ABPZ20 KNHC 252322
      Tropical Weather Outlook
      NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
      500 PM PDT Sun Jul 25 2021
      For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
      An area of low pressure located about 1200 miles east-southeast of 
      the Hawaiian Islands continues to move westward at about 15 mph.  
      Showers and thunderstorms associated with the system have persisted 
      for much of the day, but they remain displaced to the northwest and 
      north of the circulation center.  Environmental conditions are 
      expected to remain conducive for some additional development during 
      the next day or so, and only a slight increase in the organization 
      of the system would result in the development of a tropical 
      depression.  The low is forecast to move into the Central Pacific 
      basin on Monday morning, and on Tuesday conditions are expected to 
      become unfavorable for further development.
      * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. 
      * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
      An area of low pressure is forecast to develop by midweek a few 
      hundred miles south or southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  
      Thereafter, some gradual development is possible through late this 
      week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 
      mph, remaining a couple of hundred miles offshore of the coast of 
      southern Mexico. 
      * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
      * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
      Forecaster Brown

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