Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
GUILLERMO Current Status
...GUILLERMO BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at
GUILLERMO Land Hazards
GUILLERMO Tracker
GUILLERMO Satellite Loop
GUILLERMO Alternate Tracking Map
GUILLERMO Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for GUILLERMO can be found here:
GUILLERMO spaghetti models page »
GUILLERMO Watches and Warnings
Post-Tropical Cyclone GUILLERMO Tropical Cyclone Update
Post-Tropical Cyclone GUILLERMO Public Advisory
000 WTPZ32 KNHC 202032 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Guillermo Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072021 200 PM PDT Tue Jul 20 2021 ...GUILLERMO BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.7N 126.5W ABOUT 1110 MI...1785 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Guillermo was located near latitude 18.7 North, longitude 126.5 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h) and a westward to west-southwestward motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected until the remnant low dissipates Thursday night or early Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast, and the remnant low is expected to dissipate in a couple of days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Guillermo. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Brennan
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Post-Tropical Cyclone GUILLERMO Forecast Discussion
467 WTPZ42 KNHC 202034 TCDEP2 Post-Tropical Cyclone Guillermo Discussion Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072021 200 PM PDT Tue Jul 20 2021 Guillermo's circulation consists of a tight swirl of low-level clouds, and the earlier brief convective flare up dissipated shortly after the release of the previous advisory. Given that the system has been devoid of organized deep convection for most of the last 18 hours, the system is now considered a remnant low and this will be the last NHC advisory. The initial intensity remains 30 kt based on a recent ASCAT pass that showed an area of 25-30 kt winds north of the center. The post-tropical cyclone will remain in an dry, stable airmass while moving over SSTs of 24-25C, which should result in a gradual spin down of the circulation. Global model fields indicate that the low will open up into a trough within 48-60 hours, and that is indicated in the official forecast. The remnant low is now moving a little south of due west, with an initial motion estimate of 265/15. The system is expected to move west-southwestward until dissipation under the influence of the expansive low-level ridge centered over the north-central Pacific. The new NHC track forecast is a little south of and faster than the previous one, trending toward the latest consensus aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/2100Z 18.7N 126.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 21/0600Z 18.2N 128.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 21/1800Z 17.5N 131.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 22/0600Z 16.8N 134.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 22/1800Z 16.1N 137.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brennan/Cangialosi
GUILLERMO storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 knots | 18.7, -126.5 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 25 knots | 18.2, -128.9 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 25 knots | 17.5, -131.8 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 25 knots | 16.8, -134.5 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 20 knots | 16.1, -137.0 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 0 knots | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
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