Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

Go to the main page to see active storms.

GRACE Current Status

...GRACE WEAKENS TO A DISTURBANCE... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

Current Wind Speed 20 knots / 25 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 20 knots / 25 MPH at

Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite

current US watches/warnings

current radar loop

future radar imagery

(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)

If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.

GRACE Land Hazards

NWS Local Hurricane Statements
Boston/Norton MA AL082021 **HENRI WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY INTO MONDAY**
Mount Holly NJ AL082021 **HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORT THAT HENRI IS MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND LONG ISLAND**
Albany NY AL082021 **Hurricane Henri will bring heavy rain and strong winds to Connecticut Sunday into early Monday**
New York NY AL082021 **HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT SUNDAY**

GRACE Tracker

GRACE Satellite Loop

GRACE Alternate Tracking Map

GRACE Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for GRACE can be found here:

GRACE spaghetti models page »

GRACE Watches and Warnings

Remnants Of GRACE Tropical Cyclone Update

Remnants Of GRACE Public Advisory

000
WTNT32 KNHC 212043
TCPAT2
 
BULLETIN
Remnants Of Grace Advisory Number  34
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072021
400 PM CDT Sat Aug 21 2021
 
...GRACE WEAKENS TO A DISTURBANCE...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 100.1W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM WNW OF CIUDAD DE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The government of Mexico has discontinued all warnings for the
coast of Mexico.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor 
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the remnants of Grace were located near
latitude 19.6 North, longitude 100.1 West.  The remnants are moving
toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this general motion is 
expected to continue tonight.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Although Grace has dissipated, its remnants will likely 
move into the eastern North Pacific by Sunday afternoon, where it 
is likely to develop into a new tropical cyclone next week. 
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Grace can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC and
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?key_messages.

RAINFALL:  The remnants of Grace will be capable of producing an 
additional 1 to 3 inches of rain with isolated maximum amounts of 
around 5 inches through tonight across portions of central Mexico, 
including Ciudad de Mexico.  The lingering heavy rainfall may lead 
to additional areas of flash and urban flooding, along with 
mudslides, through tonight. 


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Remnants Of GRACE Forecast Discussion

000
WTNT42 KNHC 212045
TCDAT2
 
Remnants Of Grace Discussion Number  34
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072021
400 PM CDT Sat Aug 21 2021

The mountainous terrain of Mexico has taken its toll on Grace.  
Surface observations and high-resolution visible satellite images 
indicate that the system no longer has a definite surface 
circulation, and Grace has degenerated into a trough to the 
west of Mexico City.  Therefore, this is the last advisory on this 
system.
 
Although the surface center has dissipated, the mid-tropospheric 
remnants of Grace are expected to continue westward, and to emerge 
into the eastern Pacific Ocean by late Sunday.  There is high 
likelihood that this will lead to the formation of a new tropical 
cyclone over that basin by early next week.  For additional 
information on this possibility, see the eastern North Pacific 
Tropical Weather Outlook under AWIPS header MIATWOEP, WMO header 
ABPZ20 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov. 

Key Messages:
 
1. Through tonight, lingering heavy rainfall from the remnants of 
Grace may result in additional areas of flash and urban flooding, 
along with mudslides, over central Mexico.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  21/2100Z 19.6N 100.1W   20 KT  25 MPH...REMNANTS
 12H  22/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch

GRACE storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
20 knots 19.6, -100.1 translation missing: en.REMNANTS
0 knots translation missing: en.DISSIPATED


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