Cyclocane

(cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker)

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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

Go to the main page to see active storms.

GONZALO Current Status

...GONZALO BECOMES A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC...

Current Wind Speed 70 knots / 80 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 70 knots / 80 MPH at

GONZALO Land Hazards

NWS Local Hurricane Statements
Canada - English | français
THIS IS THE FINAL STATEMENT BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE ON THIS STORM.

GONZALO Tracker

GONZALO Satellite Loop

GONZALO Alternate Tracking Map

GONZALO Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for GONZALO can be found here:

GONZALO spaghetti models page »

GONZALO Watches and Warnings

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GONZALO Tropical Cyclone Update

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GONZALO Public Advisory

000
WTNT33 KNHC 192038
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
500 PM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

...GONZALO BECOMES A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE FAR
NORTH ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...51.6N 41.8W
ABOUT 560 MI...900 KM NE OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 52 MPH...83 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 51.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.8 WEST.
THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR
52 MPH...83 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A STEADY DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST MERGE WITH ANOTHER LOW OVER
THE NORTH ATLANTIC IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
MILES...500 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE
UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH
TONIGHT. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON GONZALO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GONZALO Forecast Discussion

000
WTNT43 KNHC 192039
TCDAT3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GONZALO DISCUSSION NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
500 PM AST SUN OCT 19 2014

The combined effect of sea-surface temperatures around 10C and
southwesterly vertical wind shear of more than 40 kt has finally
taken its toll on Gonzalo. The upper-level circulation is tilted
more than 100 nmi to the northeast of the low-level circulation
center, and an abundance of cold-air stratocumulus clouds has
wrapped all the way around the entire low-level circulation. Gonzalo
looks like a frontal low in satellite imagery, suggesting that the
system has completed its transformation into an extratropical
cyclone. The initial intensity has been decreased to 70 kt, which is
consistent with various decay models. Only gradual weakening is
expected during the next 48 hours.

The initial motion estimate is 060/45 kt. Gonzalo has turned toward
the east-northeast, and that general motion is expected for the next
24-36 hours, after which the cyclone is forecast to slow down
considerably and turn northward and be absorbed by a larger low
pressure system north of the British Isles by 72 hours. The NHC
track forecast is close to a blend of the GFS and ECMWF models, and
is near the latest forecast guidance provided by the NOAA Ocean
Prediction Center.

This is the last NHC advisory on Gonzalo.  Additional information on
this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service...under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO
header FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  19/2100Z 51.6N  41.8W   70 KT  80 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 12H  20/0600Z 53.6N  31.5W   65 KT  75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  20/1800Z 56.5N  15.0W   50 KT  60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  21/0600Z 58.5N   1.0W   50 KT  60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  21/1800Z 64.5N   1.0W   50 KT  60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  22/1800Z...ABSORBED

$$
Forecaster Stewart

GONZALO storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
70 knots 51.6, -41.8 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
65 knots 53.6, -31.5 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
50 knots 56.5, -15.0 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
50 knots 58.5, -1.0 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
50 knots 64.5, -1.0 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
0 knots , translation missing: en.ABSORBED


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